Conference League
Matchday 2 Thursday, 22 October 2026
FT
FK JablonecHomeLLDWL
0:0Half-time 0:0
BrightonAwayWDLDW61183
FK Jablonec winDrawBrighton win
Conference League
Matchday 2 Thursday, 22 October 2026
FT
FK JablonecHomeLLDWLBrightonAwayWDLDW- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.58 0.64 : 2.94
- Favourite
- 83% Brighton
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 45% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
FK Jablonec vs Brighton odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 18.00 | 8.20 | 1.16 | 1.42 | 2.77 | 2.05 | 1.69 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Brighton to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the FK Jablonec vs Brighton prediction: FK Jablonec 18.00 (1xBet), draw 8.20 (1xBet), Brighton 1.16 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.42 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.77 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.05 (1xBet) and no 1.69 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
83%
Our prediction
Brighton to win
Double chanceBrighton or draw
94% chance1.02
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.42
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Brighton, full-time Brighton
61% chance1.64fair
FK Jablonec vs Brighton prediction
Our FK Jablonec vs Brighton prediction and pick
Brighton are a strong favourite in the FK Jablonec vs Brighton prediction, rated 83% to win this Conference League match on Thursday, 22 October 2026. FK Jablonec sit at 6% and the draw at 11%.
The goal expectancy is 3.58 in total, split 0.64 to FK Jablonec and 2.94 to Brighton. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 68% and both teams to score 45%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for FK Jablonec vs Brighton is brighton to win, a 83% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.16 at 1xBet, which implies 86%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Brighton or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 94% chance, priced 1.02.
The draw sits at only 11%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches FK Jablonec stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Brighton show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
FK Jablonec vs Brighton over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 52%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; 1xBet pay 1.42.
The chance of both teams scoring is 45%, built from FK Jablonec scoring in 47% of runs and Brighton in 95%; clean sheets come at 5% for FK Jablonec and 53% for Brighton.
Correct score: 0-2 leads at 12%, then 0-3 at 11.8% and 0-4 at 8.7%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Brighton, full-time Brighton leads at 61%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, FK Jablonec vs Brighton
The grid built from 0.64 and 2.94 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
FK Jablonec to win6%18.00
Draw11%8.20
Brighton to win83%1.16
FK Jablonec, draw no bet7%fair 15.15
Brighton, draw no bet93%fair 1.07
Double chance
FK Jablonec or draw17%5.63
Brighton or draw94%1.02
FK Jablonec or Brighton (no draw)89%1.09
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.42
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.08
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.46
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.75
Under 2.5 goals32%2.77
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.92
BTTS
Both teams to score45%2.05
Not both teams to score55%1.69
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.09
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
FK Jablonec to score47%fair 2.11
Brighton to score95%fair 1.06
FK Jablonec clean sheet5%fair 18.87
Brighton clean sheet53%fair 1.90
FK Jablonec to win to nil5%fair 20.41
Brighton to win to nil49%fair 2.06
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-212%
0-311.8%
0-48.7%
0-18.2%
1-27.7%
1-37.6%
Half-time / full-time
Brighton / Brighton60.9%
Draw / Brighton19.6%
Draw / Draw6.5%
FK Jablonec / Brighton2.9%
FK Jablonec / FK Jablonec2.8%
Questions about FK Jablonec vs Brighton
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Brighton?
The model gives Brighton the best chance at 83%, with the draw at 11%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in FK Jablonec vs Brighton?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 68%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in FK Jablonec vs Brighton?
The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. FK Jablonec find the net in 47% of simulated matches and Brighton in 95%.
What time does FK Jablonec vs Brighton kick off?
FK Jablonec vs Brighton starts at 16:45 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.