Ethiopia Premier League
Awassa KenemaHomeLDDW
2:1Half-time 1:1
Gamo ChenchaAwayLLDL363232
Awassa Kenema winDrawGamo Chencha win
Awassa KenemaHomeLDDWGamo ChenchaAwayLLDL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.91 0.99 : 0.92
- Favourite
- 36% Awassa Kenema
- Over 2.5 goals
- 30% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Best odds for Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.47 | 2.91 | 3.12 | 2.82 | 1.40 | 2.50 | 1.50 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.47 | 2.91 | 3.12 | 2.82 | 1.40 | 2.50 | 1.50 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.47 | 2.91 | 3.12 | 2.82 | 1.40 | 2.50 | 1.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Awassa Kenema to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha are 2.47 for Awassa Kenema at 22Bet, 2.91 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.12 for Gamo Chencha at 22Bet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.82 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.40 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.50 (22Bet) and no 1.50 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
68%
Our prediction
Awassa Kenema or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
70% chance1.40
BTTSNot both teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
57% chance1.76fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
15% chance6.76fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
23% chance4.37fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
58% chance1.73fairWon
Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha prediction
Our Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha prediction and pick
The Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Ethiopia Premier League on Sunday, 1 November 2026 gives Awassa Kenema a 36% chance, Gamo Chencha 32% and the draw 32%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 1.91 in total, split 0.99 to Awassa Kenema and 0.92 to Gamo Chencha. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 30% and both teams to score 39%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is awassa Kenema or draw at 68%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 7 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 4 matches Awassa Kenema stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Gamo Chencha show 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 57%, over 2.5 at 30%, over 3.5 at 13%; under 2.5 is 70% and under 3.5 is 87%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.40 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 39%, built from Awassa Kenema scoring in 63% of runs and Gamo Chencha in 60%; clean sheets come at 40% for Awassa Kenema and 37% for Gamo Chencha.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha: 0-0 (14.8%), 1-0 (14.7%) and 0-1 (13.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 58%.
Every market rated for Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha
The grid built from 0.99 and 0.92 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Awassa Kenema to win36%2.47
Draw32%2.91
Gamo Chencha to win32%3.12
Awassa Kenema, draw no bet53%fair 1.90
Gamo Chencha, draw no bet47%fair 2.11
Double chance
Awassa Kenema or draw68%1.34
Gamo Chencha or draw64%1.51
Awassa Kenema or Gamo Chencha (no draw)68%1.38
Goals
Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 goals57%fair 1.76
Over 2.5 goals30%2.82
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 22.22
Under 1.5 goals43%fair 2.32
Under 2.5 goals70%1.40
Under 3.5 goals87%fair 1.15
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.50
Not both teams to score61%1.50
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.73
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.69
Second-half goal65%fair 1.54
Team goals
Awassa Kenema to score63%fair 1.59
Gamo Chencha to score60%fair 1.66
Awassa Kenema clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Gamo Chencha clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Awassa Kenema to win to nil33%fair 3.05
Gamo Chencha to win to nil30%fair 3.39
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
0-014.8%
1-014.7%
0-113.6%
1-113.5%
2-07.3%
2-16.7%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw22.9%
Awassa Kenema / Awassa Kenema20.2%
Gamo Chencha / Gamo Chencha17.9%
Draw / Awassa Kenema14.5%
Draw / Gamo Chencha13.2%
Questions about Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha
Awassa Kenema or Gamo Chencha: which side does the model back?
The model gives Awassa Kenema the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 32%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 30%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Awassa Kenema find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Gamo Chencha in 60%.
When is Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha and where is the result shown?
Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha starts at 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.