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Ethiopia Premier League Round 5 Monday, 2 November 2026 FT
Ethiopia Nigd BankHomeWWDD
1:3Half-time 0:1
Ethiopian MedhinAwayWDL
294328
Ethiopia Nigd Bank winDrawEthiopian Medhin win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
1.76
0.88 : 0.88
Favourite
29%
Ethiopian Medhin
Over 2.5 goals
25%
model chance
Both teams to score
40%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.892.392.802.831.332.221.56Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Ethiopian Medhin to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Ethiopia Nigd Bank price at 2.89, 1xBet lead the draw at 2.39 and 1xBet have Ethiopian Medhin longest at 2.80.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.83 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.22 (1xBet) and no 1.56 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

71%

Our prediction

Ethiopian Medhin or draw
LeanWonExpected goals 0.88 : 0.88-7.9% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
75% chance1.33
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.56Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
53% chance1.90fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
17% chance5.81fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
25% chance4.00fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
55% chance1.83fairWon

Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin odds movement

Ethiopia Nigd Bank win2.89+0.10
Draw2.39-0.41
Ethiopian Medhin win2.80unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.83-0.16
Under 2.5 goals1.33-0.07

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin prediction

Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin prediction, who wins and at what price

The Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Ethiopia Premier League on Monday, 2 November 2026 gives Ethiopia Nigd Bank a 29% chance, Ethiopian Medhin 29% and the draw 43%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank are expected to score 0.88 and Ethiopian Medhin 0.88, so the total line is 1.76 goals; over 2.5 lands at 25% and BTTS at 40%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin is ethiopian Medhin or draw, a 71% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 6 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

A 43% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Over the last 4 matches Ethiopia Nigd Bank stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Ethiopian Medhin show 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 3.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin

On the goal lines Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin reads 53% for over 1.5, 25% for over 2.5 and 10% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 75%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 75%; 1xBet pay 1.33.

Both teams to score is 40%: Ethiopia Nigd Bank find the net in 59% of simulated matches and Ethiopian Medhin in 59%. Ethiopia Nigd Bank keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Ethiopian Medhin 42%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Correct score: 0-0 leads at 17.2%, then 0-1 at 15.1% and 1-0 at 15.1%.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 55%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win29%2.89
Draw43%2.39
Ethiopian Medhin to win29%2.80
Ethiopia Nigd Bank, draw no bet50%fair 2.01
Ethiopian Medhin, draw no bet50%fair 1.99

Double chance

Ethiopia Nigd Bank or draw71%1.31
Ethiopian Medhin or draw71%1.29
Ethiopia Nigd Bank or Ethiopian Medhin (no draw)57%1.42

Goals

Over 0.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 goals53%fair 1.90
Over 2.5 goals25%2.83
Over 3.5 goals10%fair 9.80
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 29.41
Under 1.5 goals48%fair 2.11
Under 2.5 goals75%1.33
Under 3.5 goals90%fair 1.11

BTTS

Both teams to score40%2.22
Not both teams to score61%1.56

Halves

First-half goal55%fair 1.83
Over 1.5 first-half goals19%fair 5.32
Second-half goal62%fair 1.61

Team goals

Ethiopia Nigd Bank to score59%fair 1.71
Ethiopian Medhin to score59%fair 1.71
Ethiopia Nigd Bank clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Ethiopian Medhin clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win to nil26%fair 3.80
Ethiopian Medhin to win to nil27%fair 3.77

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.06
Even number of goals52%fair 1.94

Most likely scores

0-017.2%
0-115.1%
1-015.1%
1-113.3%
0-26.7%
2-06.7%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw25%
Ethiopian Medhin / Ethiopian Medhin18.3%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank / Ethiopia Nigd Bank18.3%
Draw / Ethiopian Medhin13.9%
Draw / Ethiopia Nigd Bank13.9%

Questions about Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin

Who is favourite in Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin?

The model gives Ethiopian Medhin the best chance at 29%, with the draw at 43%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin correct score: what does the model say?

0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 25%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin?

The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Ethiopia Nigd Bank find the net in 59% of simulated matches and Ethiopian Medhin in 59%.

What time does Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin kick off?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin starts at 12:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Ethiopia Nigd Bank v Ethiopian MedhinEthiopian Medhin or draw, 71%
1.29Bet