Meistriliiga predictions for every fixture

Meistriliiga predictions for the coming round

Meistriliiga predictions cover 5 of the next 5 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 55% chance, the draw 22%, over 2.5 goals 59% and BTTS 58%.

Expected goals average 3.07 a match, so the goal lines open above 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 4 of the 5 rated fixtures. 1 pick reaches banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

The strongest Meistriliiga pick of the round is kuressaare or Nõmme United (no draw) in Kuressaare v Nõmme United on Sat 7 Nov, rated 77%.

No Meistriliiga pick in this round clears the 3% edge bar against the best price, so the value page lists nothing from this competition today. The picks below stand on probability alone.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full Meistriliiga odds table.

Meistriliiga results and trends, last 60 days

The last 52 Meistriliiga matches of the past 60 days produced 28 home wins, 6 draws and 18 away wins. That is a home win rate of 54% and a draw rate of 12%.

Goals averaged 2.96 a match, 1.77 for the home side and 1.19 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 56% of matches and over 1.5 in 83%. Both teams scored in 50%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 50%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was Nõmme United 3-4 FC Levadia Tallinn on Sat 31 Oct.

The model rates over 2.5 at 59% for the coming round against a 56% strike rate in these results, so the two readings agree.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the Meistriliiga tips have gone

16 Meistriliiga tips have been settled in the last 60 days: 5 won and 11 lost, a hit rate of 31%. At a flat stake on the best price at freeze time the return is -40%.

The best-performing market for the competition appears here once any single market reaches five settled tips. Until then the figures above cover every market together and move quickly from round to round.

Every tip is frozen 40 hours before kick-off and graded from the final score. The day-by-day list sits on the results pages. 0 further Meistriliiga tips are frozen and waiting for their matches.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn, so this record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

Meistriliiga odds comparison

No Meistriliiga fixture in the coming round is priced yet. Prices usually arrive two to three days before kick-off for a top division and the evening before for cups and lower divisions.

Until then the match pages show the fair price from the model, labelled as such. The edge column stays blank because there is no bookmaker line to measure it against.

Once prices land, each Meistriliiga match page lists every bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and both teams to score lines with the best in each column marked. Taking the best price on each outcome typically pays two to four points more than a single bookmaker's full line, and partner bookmakers carry a Bet button.