Vaprus vs Paide prediction

Our Vaprus vs Paide prediction and pick

Vaprus host Paide on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Meistriliiga, and the model has Paide at 51%, the draw at 21% and Vaprus at 28%: that is the Vaprus vs Paide prediction in one line.

Vaprus are expected to score 1.36 and Paide 1.89, so the total line is 3.25 goals; over 2.5 lands at 62% and BTTS at 64%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is paide to win at 51%. The best price in our comparison is 2.20 at Melbet, which implies 46%, so the model sits 5 points above the market.

A 11.5% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

Vaprus or Paide (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.25.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Vaprus have won 0 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 10 conceded, Paide 4 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 4.

Goals forecast for Vaprus vs Paide with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 38% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 62%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; Melbet pay 1.54.

BTTS yes stands at 64%. Vaprus score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Paide; Paide score in 85% while Vaprus shut them out 15% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10%, followed by 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.3%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Paide, full-time Paide leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.