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Live 25 UTC
Meistriliiga Round 33 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
TammekaHomeLLWLW
5:1Half-time 1:1
Trans NarvaAwayLLLLL
502426
Tammeka winDrawTrans Narva win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
3.10
1.84 : 1.26
Favourite
50%
Tammeka
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Tammeka vs Trans Narva

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.833.683.481.492.301.482.45Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Tammeka to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Tammeka vs Trans Narva are 1.83 for Tammeka at 1xBet, 3.68 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.48 for Trans Narva at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.49 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.30 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.45 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

50%

Our prediction

Tammeka to win
LeanExpected goals 1.84 : 1.26-8% against the best price
Double chanceTammeka or Trans Narva (no draw)
76% chance1.20
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.49
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tammeka, full-time Tammeka
32% chance3.13fair

Tammeka vs Trans Narva prediction

Tammeka vs Trans Narva prediction and best bet

The Tammeka vs Trans Narva prediction leans to Tammeka: 50% against 26% for Trans Narva, with 24% left for the draw, in the Meistriliiga on Friday, 23 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.10 in total, split 1.84 to Tammeka and 1.26 to Trans Narva. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 59% and both teams to score 62%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Tammeka to win is the main selection, rated 50%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.83. That price implies 55%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Tammeka vs Trans Narva.

Tammeka or Trans Narva (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance, priced 1.20.

Tammeka average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Trans Narva 0.4 and 2.2 across 5.

Tammeka vs Trans Narva goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Tammeka vs Trans Narva reads 82% for over 1.5, 59% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 41%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.49 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Tammeka scoring in 84% of runs and Trans Narva in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Tammeka and 16% for Trans Narva.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Tammeka vs Trans Narva: 1-1 (10.4%), 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.3%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Tammeka, full-time Tammeka is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

Every market for Tammeka vs Trans Narva

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Tammeka vs Trans Narva, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Tammeka to win50%1.83
Draw24%3.68
Trans Narva to win26%3.48
Tammeka, draw no bet66%fair 1.51
Trans Narva, draw no bet34%fair 2.97

Double chance

Tammeka or draw74%1.22
Trans Narva or draw50%1.79
Tammeka or Trans Narva (no draw)76%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.49
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 2.5 goals41%2.30
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.60

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.48
Not both teams to score38%2.45

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.46
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Tammeka to score84%fair 1.19
Trans Narva to score72%fair 1.40
Tammeka clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Trans Narva clean sheet16%fair 6.29
Tammeka to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Trans Narva to win to nil15%fair 6.85

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.6%
1-08.3%
2-07.6%
1-26.6%
2-26.1%

Half-time / full-time

Tammeka / Tammeka31.9%
Draw / Tammeka16%
Trans Narva / Trans Narva15%
Draw / Draw12.6%
Draw / Trans Narva9.3%

Questions about Tammeka vs Trans Narva

Tammeka or Trans Narva: which side does the model back?

The model gives Tammeka the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Tammeka vs Trans Narva?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 59% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Tammeka vs Trans Narva?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Tammeka find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Trans Narva in 72%.

What time does Tammeka vs Trans Narva kick off?

Tammeka vs Trans Narva starts at 16:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Tammeka v Trans NarvaTammeka to win, 50%
1.83Bet