Meistriliiga
Kalju NommeHomeDLWWW
2:1Half-time 2:1
Flora TallinnAwayLWLLW412633
Kalju Nomme winDrawFlora Tallinn win
Kalju NommeHomeDLWWWFlora TallinnAwayLWLLW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.10 1.64 : 1.46
- Favourite
- 41% Kalju Nomme
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.44 | 2.52 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.44 | 2.56 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.03 | 3.86 | 2.09 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.96 | 3.55 | 2.08 | 1.57 | 2.28 | 1.48 | 2.36 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.03 | 3.86 | 2.09 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.03 | 3.86 | 2.09 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Kalju Nomme to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Kalju Nomme price at 3.03, Melbet lead the draw at 3.86 and 1xBet have Flora Tallinn longest at 2.52.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 101.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.60 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.30 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.54 (Betwinner) and no 2.56 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Kalju Nomme or Flora Tallinn (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.60
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kalju Nomme, full-time Kalju Nomme
26% chance3.92fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fair
Kalju Nomme v Flora Tallinn head to head
0Kalju Nomme wins
0Draws
1Flora Tallinn wins
- 5 Sep 26Flora Tallinn2:1Kalju Nomme
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Kalju Nomme scored 1, Flora Tallinn scored 2.
Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn prediction
Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn prediction, who wins and at what price
Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn prediction for the Meistriliiga on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model calls it close, Kalju Nomme 41%, draw 26%, Flora Tallinn 33%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Kalju Nomme are expected to score 1.64 and Flora Tallinn 1.46, so the total line is 3.10 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 63%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is kalju Nomme or Flora Tallinn (no draw) at 74%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.23. That price implies 81%, 8 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Kalju Nomme average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Flora Tallinn 1.4 and 1.6 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn
On the goal lines Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.60 at Betwinner.
The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from Kalju Nomme scoring in 81% of runs and Flora Tallinn in 77%; clean sheets come at 23% for Kalju Nomme and 19% for Flora Tallinn.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn: 1-1 (10.8%), 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Kalju Nomme, full-time Kalju Nomme leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Kalju Nomme to win41%3.03
Draw26%3.86
Flora Tallinn to win33%2.52
Kalju Nomme, draw no bet55%fair 1.81
Flora Tallinn, draw no bet45%fair 2.23
Double chance
Kalju Nomme or draw67%1.70
Flora Tallinn or draw59%1.45
Kalju Nomme or Flora Tallinn (no draw)74%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals60%1.60
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 2.5 goals40%2.30
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.60
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.54
Not both teams to score37%2.56
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.46
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Kalju Nomme to score81%fair 1.24
Flora Tallinn to score77%fair 1.30
Kalju Nomme clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Flora Tallinn clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Kalju Nomme to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Flora Tallinn to win to nil18%fair 5.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.8%
2-18.8%
1-27.9%
1-07.4%
0-16.6%
2-26.5%
Half-time / full-time
Kalju Nomme / Kalju Nomme25.5%
Flora Tallinn / Flora Tallinn20.2%
Draw / Kalju Nomme13.7%
Draw / Draw13%
Draw / Flora Tallinn11.6%
Questions about Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn
Who will win Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn?
The model gives Kalju Nomme the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Kalju Nomme find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Flora Tallinn in 77%.
When is Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.