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Meistriliiga Round 36 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
PaideHomeWWWLW
Sat 7 Nov
Flora TallinnAwayLWLLW
482428
Paide winDrawFlora Tallinn win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.96
1.70 : 1.26
Favourite
48%
Paide
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Paide vs Flora Tallinn betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

76%

Our prediction

Paide or Flora Tallinn (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.70 : 1.26
1.31fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.76fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.71fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Paide, full-time Paide
29% chance3.41fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair

Paide vs Flora Tallinn prediction

Paide vs Flora Tallinn prediction, who wins and at what price

The Paide vs Flora Tallinn prediction leans to Paide: 48% against 29% for Flora Tallinn, with 24% left for the draw, in the Meistriliiga on Saturday, 7 November 2026.

Expected goals are 1.70 for Paide and 1.26 for Flora Tallinn, a total of 2.96, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is paide or Flora Tallinn (no draw) at 76%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Form check: Paide have won 4 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 4 conceded, Flora Tallinn 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 8.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Paide vs Flora Tallinn

On the goal lines Paide vs Flora Tallinn reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Paide scoring in 82% of runs and Flora Tallinn in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Paide and 18% for Flora Tallinn.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%, followed by 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.8%).

With the top scoreline at 11.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Paide vs Flora Tallinn; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Paide, full-time Paide leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Paide vs Flora Tallinn

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Paide vs Flora Tallinn, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Paide to win48%fair 2.11
Draw24%fair 4.18
Flora Tallinn to win29%fair 3.50
Paide, draw no bet62%fair 1.60
Flora Tallinn, draw no bet38%fair 2.66

Double chance

Paide or draw71%fair 1.40
Flora Tallinn or draw53%fair 1.90
Paide or Flora Tallinn (no draw)76%fair 1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals57%fair 1.76
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.91
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 2.5 goals43%fair 2.31
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52

BTTS

Both teams to score59%fair 1.71
Not both teams to score41%fair 2.42

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.60
Second-half goal80%fair 1.24

Team goals

Paide to score82%fair 1.22
Flora Tallinn to score72%fair 1.40
Paide clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Flora Tallinn clean sheet18%fair 5.46
Paide to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Flora Tallinn to win to nil17%fair 5.95

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
2-19.4%
1-08.8%
2-07.5%
1-27%
0-16.5%

Half-time / full-time

Paide / Paide29.3%
Flora Tallinn / Flora Tallinn16.3%
Draw / Paide15.5%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Flora Tallinn10.1%

Questions about Paide vs Flora Tallinn

Paide or Flora Tallinn: which side does the model back?

The model gives Paide the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Paide vs Flora Tallinn correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Paide vs Flora Tallinn?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Paide find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Flora Tallinn in 72%.

When do Paide play Flora Tallinn?

Kick-off is 10:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Paide v Flora TallinnPaide or Flora Tallinn (no draw), 76%
1.31fair