Meistriliiga
KuressaareHomeWLLDL
0:1Half-time 0:1
PaideAwayWWWLW252550
Kuressaare winDrawPaide win
KuressaareHomeWLLDLPaideAwayWWWLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.94 1.17 : 1.77
- Favourite
- 51% Paide
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Kuressaare vs Paide odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.98 | 3.65 | 1.72 | 1.61 | 2.13 | 1.59 | 2.19 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Paide to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Kuressaare vs Paide are 3.98 for Kuressaare at 1xBet, 3.65 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.72 for Paide at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.61 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.13 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (1xBet) and no 2.19 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
51%
Our prediction
Paide to win
Double chanceKuressaare or Paide (no draw)
75% chance1.20
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.61
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Paide, full-time Paide
32% chance3.13fair
Kuressaare vs Paide prediction
Kuressaare vs Paide prediction, who wins and at what price
The Kuressaare vs Paide prediction leans to Paide: 51% against 25% for Kuressaare, with 25% left for the draw, in the Meistriliiga on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Kuressaare are expected to score 1.17 and Paide 1.77, so the total line is 2.94 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Paide to win is the main selection, rated 51%. At 1.72 with 1xBet the market prices it at 58%, against 51% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Kuressaare vs Paide.
For a safer line, kuressaare or Paide (no draw) covers 75% of outcomes at 1.20.
Form check: Kuressaare have won 1 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 5 conceded, Paide 4 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 4.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Kuressaare vs Paide
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 56%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 44% and under 3.5 is 66%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.61.
The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Kuressaare scoring in 69% of runs and Paide in 83%; clean sheets come at 17% for Kuressaare and 31% for Paide.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.9%, then 1-2 at 9.7% and 0-1 at 9.4%.
With the top scoreline at 10.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Kuressaare vs Paide; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Paide, full-time Paide is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market for Kuressaare vs Paide
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 25% / 25% / 51% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Kuressaare to win25%3.98
Draw25%3.65
Paide to win51%1.72
Kuressaare, draw no bet33%fair 3.05
Paide, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Double chance
Kuressaare or draw49%1.90
Paide or draw75%1.17
Kuressaare or Paide (no draw)75%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.61
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.95
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.81
Under 2.5 goals44%2.13
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.51
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.59
Not both teams to score42%2.19
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.62
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Kuressaare to score69%fair 1.45
Paide to score83%fair 1.20
Kuressaare clean sheet17%fair 5.88
Paide clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Kuressaare to win to nil16%fair 6.37
Paide to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.9%
1-29.7%
0-19.4%
0-28.3%
2-16.4%
1-06.2%
Half-time / full-time
Paide / Paide32%
Draw / Paide16.5%
Kuressaare / Kuressaare14.3%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Kuressaare9.2%
Questions about Kuressaare vs Paide
Kuressaare or Paide: which side does the model back?
The model gives Paide the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Kuressaare vs Paide?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Kuressaare vs Paide?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Kuressaare find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Paide in 83%.
When do Kuressaare play Paide?
Kick-off is 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.