Skip to the predictions
Live 31 UTC
National League Round 14 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Harrogate TownHomeDWWLD
3:1Half-time 3:0
Sutton UtdAwayLWLWW
582418
Harrogate Town winDrawSutton Utd win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.78
1.83 : 0.95
Favourite
58%
Harrogate Town
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.633.584.701.791.881.771.92Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Harrogate Town to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd prediction: Harrogate Town 1.63 (1xBet), draw 3.58 (1xBet), Sutton Utd 4.70 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.79 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.88 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (1xBet) and no 1.92 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

58%

Our prediction

Harrogate Town to win
StrongExpected goals 1.83 : 0.95-5.6% against the best price
Double chanceHarrogate Town or draw
81% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Harrogate Town, full-time Harrogate Town
37% chance2.72fair

Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd odds movement

Harrogate Town win1.63-0.07
Draw3.58-0.32
Sutton Utd win4.70-0.28
Over 2.5 goals1.79-0.09
Under 2.5 goals1.88-0.12

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd prediction

Our Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd prediction and pick

Harrogate Town host Sutton Utd on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the National League, and the model has Harrogate Town at 58%, the draw at 24% and Sutton Utd at 19%: that is the Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd prediction in one line.

Harrogate Town are expected to score 1.83 and Sutton Utd 0.95, so the total line is 2.78 goals; over 2.5 lands at 52% and BTTS at 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is harrogate Town to win at 58%. The best price in our comparison is 1.63 at 1xBet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Harrogate Town or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.12.

Harrogate Town average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Sutton Utd 1.4 and 1.0 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd

Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 52%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 53%: Harrogate Town find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Sutton Utd in 61%. Harrogate Town keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and Sutton Utd 16%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd: 1-0 (11.4%), 1-1 (10.8%) and 2-0 (10.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Harrogate Town, full-time Harrogate Town is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

Every market rated for Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 58% / 24% / 19% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Harrogate Town to win58%1.63
Draw24%3.58
Sutton Utd to win19%4.70
Harrogate Town, draw no bet76%fair 1.32
Sutton Utd, draw no bet24%fair 4.10

Double chance

Harrogate Town or draw81%1.12
Sutton Utd or draw42%2.03
Harrogate Town or Sutton Utd (no draw)77%1.21

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.79
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.29
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.71
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.26
Under 2.5 goals48%1.88
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.44

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.77
Not both teams to score47%1.92

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.81
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Harrogate Town to score84%fair 1.19
Sutton Utd to score61%fair 1.63
Harrogate Town clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Sutton Utd clean sheet16%fair 6.25
Harrogate Town to win to nil36%fair 2.81
Sutton Utd to win to nil15%fair 6.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-011.4%
1-110.8%
2-010.4%
2-19.9%
3-06.3%
0-06.2%

Half-time / full-time

Harrogate Town / Harrogate Town36.7%
Draw / Harrogate Town18.5%
Draw / Draw13.7%
Sutton Utd / Sutton Utd10.6%
Draw / Sutton Utd7.4%

Questions about Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd

Who is favourite in Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?

The model gives Harrogate Town the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Harrogate Town find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Sutton Utd in 61%.

When do Harrogate Town play Sutton Utd?

Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd starts at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Harrogate Town v Sutton UtdHarrogate Town to win, 58%
1.63Bet