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Live 31 UTC
FA Cup 4th Round Qualifying Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
Sutton UtdHomeLWLWW
1:0Half-time 1:0
Truro CityAwayDWWL
492625
Sutton Utd winDrawTruro City win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.64
1.57 : 1.07
Favourite
49%
Sutton Utd
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Sutton Utd vs Truro City betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.923.343.501.881.791.751.95Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sutton Utd to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Sutton Utd price at 1.92, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.34 and 1xBet have Truro City longest at 3.50.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (1xBet) and no 1.95 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Sutton Utd or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.57 : 1.07-8.7% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sutton Utd, full-time Sutton Utd
30% chance3.36fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.44fair

Sutton Utd vs Truro City odds movement

Sutton Utd win1.92-0.13
Draw3.34unchanged
Truro City win3.50unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.88-0.07
Under 2.5 goals1.79-0.06

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Sutton Utd vs Truro City prediction

Sutton Utd vs Truro City prediction and best bet

The Sutton Utd vs Truro City prediction leans to Sutton Utd: 49% against 25% for Truro City, with 26% left for the draw, in the FA Cup on Saturday, 17 October 2026.

Sutton Utd are expected to score 1.57 and Truro City 1.07, so the total line is 2.64 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Sutton Utd vs Truro City is sutton Utd or draw, a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.22. That price implies 82%, 7 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sutton Utd vs Truro City.

Sutton Utd average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Truro City 1.8 and 0.5 across 4.

How many goals in Sutton Utd vs Truro City? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.79.

Both teams to score is 53%: Sutton Utd find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Truro City in 66%. Sutton Utd keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and Truro City 21%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sutton Utd vs Truro City: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

With the top scoreline at 12%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sutton Utd vs Truro City; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sutton Utd, full-time Sutton Utd leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Sutton Utd vs Truro City

The grid built from 1.57 and 1.07 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Sutton Utd to win49%1.92
Draw26%3.34
Truro City to win25%3.50
Sutton Utd, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
Truro City, draw no bet34%fair 2.92

Double chance

Sutton Utd or draw75%1.22
Truro City or draw52%1.71
Sutton Utd or Truro City (no draw)74%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%1.88
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals51%1.79
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.75
Not both teams to score47%1.95

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31

Team goals

Sutton Utd to score79%fair 1.26
Truro City to score66%fair 1.52
Sutton Utd clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Truro City clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Sutton Utd to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Truro City to win to nil19%fair 5.24

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112%
1-011.2%
2-19.4%
2-08.8%
0-17.6%
0-07.1%

Half-time / full-time

Sutton Utd / Sutton Utd29.8%
Draw / Sutton Utd16.6%
Draw / Draw15.4%
Truro City / Truro City14.5%
Draw / Truro City9.8%

Questions about Sutton Utd vs Truro City

Who is favourite in Sutton Utd vs Truro City?

The model gives Sutton Utd the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Sutton Utd vs Truro City?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Sutton Utd vs Truro City?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Sutton Utd find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Truro City in 66%.

When is Sutton Utd vs Truro City and where is the result shown?

Sutton Utd vs Truro City starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Sutton Utd v Truro CitySutton Utd or draw, 75%
1.22Bet