National League
Sutton UtdHomeLWLWW
2:0Half-time 2:0
Aldershot TownAwayDWLLW502525
Sutton Utd winDrawAldershot Town win
Sutton UtdHomeLWLWWAldershot TownAwayDWLLW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.84 1.69 : 1.15
- Favourite
- 50% Sutton Utd
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.58 | 3.78 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.64 | 2.10 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.89 | 3.66 | 3.77 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.71 | 2.04 | 1.62 | 2.10 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.89 | 3.66 | 3.77 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.89 | 3.66 | 3.77 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.62 | 2.08 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sutton Utd to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town are 1.89 for Sutton Utd at Melbet, 3.66 for the draw at Melbet and 3.78 for Aldershot Town at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.06 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (Melbet) and no 2.11 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
Sutton Utd or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sutton Utd, full-time Sutton Utd
31% chance3.25fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair
Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town odds movement
Sutton Utd win1.89unchanged
Draw3.66-0.08
Aldershot Town win3.78-0.25
Over 2.5 goals1.81unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.06-0.10
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town prediction
Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town prediction and best bet
The Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town prediction leans to Sutton Utd: 50% against 25% for Aldershot Town, with 25% left for the draw, in the National League on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.84 in total, split 1.69 to Sutton Utd and 1.15 to Aldershot Town. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 57%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town is sutton Utd or draw, a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at Betwinner, which implies 81%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town.
Form check: Sutton Utd have won 3 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 5 conceded, Aldershot Town 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 5.
Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 68%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; Melbet pay 1.81.
Both teams to score is 57%: Sutton Utd find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Aldershot Town in 68%. Sutton Utd keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Aldershot Town 19%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town: 1-1 (11.4%), 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sutton Utd, full-time Sutton Utd leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 50% / 25% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sutton Utd to win50%1.89
Draw25%3.66
Aldershot Town to win25%3.78
Sutton Utd, draw no bet66%fair 1.51
Aldershot Town, draw no bet34%fair 2.98
Double chance
Sutton Utd or draw75%1.24
Aldershot Town or draw50%1.86
Sutton Utd or Aldershot Town (no draw)75%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals54%1.81
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.46
Under 2.5 goals46%2.06
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.68
Not both teams to score43%2.11
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.74
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Sutton Utd to score82%fair 1.23
Aldershot Town to score68%fair 1.46
Sutton Utd clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Aldershot Town clean sheet19%fair 5.41
Sutton Utd to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Aldershot Town to win to nil17%fair 5.88
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.4%
1-09.9%
2-19.6%
2-08.3%
0-16.7%
1-26.5%
Half-time / full-time
Sutton Utd / Sutton Utd30.8%
Draw / Sutton Utd16.3%
Aldershot Town / Aldershot Town14.7%
Draw / Draw14.1%
Draw / Aldershot Town9.5%
Questions about Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town
Who is favourite in Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
The model gives Sutton Utd the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.
Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Sutton Utd find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Aldershot Town in 68%.
What time does Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town kick off?
Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.