National League predictions for every fixture

National League predictions for the coming round

National League predictions cover 1 of the next 1 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 56% chance, the draw 21%, over 2.5 goals 63% and BTTS 63%.

Expected goals average 3.27 a match, so the goal lines open above 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 0 of the 1 rated fixtures. 0 picks reach banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

No National League pick in this round clears the 3% edge bar against the best price, so the value page lists nothing from this competition today. The picks below stand on probability alone.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full National League odds table.

National League results and trends, last 60 days

The last 129 National League matches of the past 60 days produced 60 home wins, 23 draws and 46 away wins. That is a home win rate of 47% and a draw rate of 18%.

Goals averaged 3.19 a match, 1.78 for the home side and 1.42 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 64% of matches and over 1.5 in 83%. Both teams scored in 63%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 37%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was Gateshead 1-6 Southend on Sat 19 Sep.

The model rates over 2.5 at 63% for the coming round against a 64% strike rate in these results, so the two readings agree.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the National League tips have gone

The National League record starts with the first settled matchday. 0 tips for this competition are already frozen: the 1X2 or double chance line, over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, both teams to score, the correct score, the half-time/full-time call and the first-half goal line for every rated match inside 40 hours of kick-off.

Once a round has been played, the hit rate, the flat-stake return and the best-performing market for the competition appear in this block. The same figures are broken down by market on the results pages, where every graded tip is listed with its chance and price.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn after the freeze, so the National League record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

National League odds comparison

Bookmakers have priced 1 of the coming National League fixtures, with a median of 1 prices per outcome on a typical match. Taking the best price on each 1X2 outcome pays 90.4% of stakes across the round, against 90.4% at an average single bookmaker.

That gap of 0.0 points is what the comparison saves before any pick is made. Every match page lists each bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS lines with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link.

The edge printed beside a pick compares the model chance with that best price. The value bets page collects the largest gaps across every competition and the banker page the highest chances, with National League rows included whenever they qualify.