National League
HartlepoolHomeWLWLL
2:1Half-time 0:0
AFC HornchurchAwayWWLLL462628
Hartlepool winDrawAFC Hornchurch win
HartlepoolHomeWLWLLAFC HornchurchAwayWWLLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.76 1.57 : 1.19
- Favourite
- 46% Hartlepool
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.38 | 3.34 | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.63 | 2.12 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Hartlepool to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Hartlepool price at 1.96, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.38 and 1xBet have AFC Hornchurch longest at 3.34.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.94 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (1xBet) and no 2.12 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Hartlepool or AFC Hornchurch (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hartlepool, full-time Hartlepool
28% chance3.57fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair
Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch odds movement
Hartlepool win1.96-0.14
Draw3.38-0.34
AFC Hornchurch win3.34-0.36
Over 2.5 goals1.74-0.07
Under 2.5 goals1.94-0.09
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch prediction
Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch prediction, who wins and at what price
Hartlepool are marginally ahead in the Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch prediction, rated 46% to win this National League match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. AFC Hornchurch sit at 29% and the draw at 26%.
Expected goals are 1.57 for Hartlepool and 1.19 for AFC Hornchurch, a total of 2.76, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Hartlepool or AFC Hornchurch (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. At 1.24 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 75% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Hartlepool stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; AFC Hornchurch show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 52%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.74 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Hartlepool scoring in 79% of runs and AFC Hornchurch in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for Hartlepool and 21% for AFC Hornchurch.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.8%, then 1-0 at 9.9% and 2-1 at 9.3%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Hartlepool, full-time Hartlepool leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Hartlepool to win46%1.96
Draw26%3.38
AFC Hornchurch to win29%3.34
Hartlepool, draw no bet62%fair 1.63
AFC Hornchurch, draw no bet39%fair 2.60
Double chance
Hartlepool or draw71%1.24
AFC Hornchurch or draw54%1.68
Hartlepool or AFC Hornchurch (no draw)75%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.74
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.85
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Under 2.5 goals48%1.94
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.63
Not both teams to score44%2.12
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.84
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Hartlepool to score79%fair 1.26
AFC Hornchurch to score70%fair 1.44
Hartlepool clean sheet30%fair 3.29
AFC Hornchurch clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Hartlepool to win to nil28%fair 3.57
AFC Hornchurch to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.8%
1-09.9%
2-19.3%
2-07.8%
0-17.5%
1-27%
Half-time / full-time
Hartlepool / Hartlepool28%
AFC Hornchurch / AFC Hornchurch16.5%
Draw / Hartlepool15.5%
Draw / Draw14.8%
Draw / AFC Hornchurch10.6%
Questions about Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch
Who will win Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch?
The model gives Hartlepool the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Hartlepool find the net in 79% of simulated matches and AFC Hornchurch in 70%.
When do Hartlepool play AFC Hornchurch?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.