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Live 14 UTC
National League Round 16 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
AFC FyldeHomeWWLWW
3:1Half-time 2:1
AFC HornchurchAwayWWLLL
582220
AFC Fylde winDrawAFC Hornchurch win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
3.41
2.18 : 1.23
Favourite
58%
AFC Fylde
Over 2.5 goals
66%
model chance
Both teams to score
64%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.604.104.221.392.591.452.53Bet
22Bet1.584.324.891.422.751.502.50Bet
BC.Game1.564.204.801.432.661.482.40Bet
Betwinner1.584.324.891.422.751.502.50Bet
Melbet1.584.324.891.422.751.502.50Bet
Stake1.574.304.50--1.482.35Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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AFC Fylde to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch prediction: AFC Fylde 1.60 (1xBet), draw 4.32 (Melbet), AFC Hornchurch 4.89 (Melbet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 94.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.43 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.75 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (Melbet) and no 2.53 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

58%

Our prediction

AFC Fylde to win
StrongExpected goals 2.18 : 1.23-6.6% against the best price
Double chanceAFC Fylde or draw
80% chance1.16
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.43
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AFC Fylde, full-time AFC Fylde
38% chance2.61fair

AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch odds movement

AFC Fylde win1.60-0.10
Draw4.32-0.04
AFC Hornchurch win4.89unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.43-0.04
Under 2.5 goals2.75-0.02

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch prediction

AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch prediction, who wins and at what price

AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch prediction for the National League on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes AFC Fylde a narrow favourite at 58%, with the draw at 22% and AFC Hornchurch at 20%.

Expected goals are 2.18 for AFC Fylde and 1.23 for AFC Hornchurch, a total of 3.41, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 64%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is aFC Fylde to win at 58%. At 1.60 with 1xBet the market prices it at 63%, against 58% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch.

For a safer line, aFC Fylde or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.16.

With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches AFC Fylde stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; AFC Hornchurch show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch reads 85% for over 1.5, 66% for over 2.5 and 44% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 34%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 66%, best priced 1.43 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 64%. AFC Fylde score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for AFC Hornchurch; AFC Hornchurch score in 71% while AFC Fylde shut them out 29% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.7%, followed by 1-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.9%).

With the top scoreline at 9.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time AFC Fylde, full-time AFC Fylde is the top combination at 38%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.

Every market for AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 58% / 22% / 20% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

AFC Fylde to win58%1.60
Draw22%4.32
AFC Hornchurch to win20%4.89
AFC Fylde, draw no bet74%fair 1.34
AFC Hornchurch, draw no bet26%fair 3.91

Double chance

AFC Fylde or draw80%1.16
AFC Hornchurch or draw42%2.29
AFC Fylde or AFC Hornchurch (no draw)79%1.19

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.43
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.25
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.88
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.85
Under 2.5 goals34%2.75
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.80

BTTS

Both teams to score64%1.50
Not both teams to score37%2.53

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.20
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18

Team goals

AFC Fylde to score89%fair 1.13
AFC Hornchurch to score71%fair 1.41
AFC Fylde clean sheet29%fair 3.42
AFC Hornchurch clean sheet11%fair 8.85
AFC Fylde to win to nil27%fair 3.72
AFC Hornchurch to win to nil10%fair 9.62

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.7%
1-18.9%
2-07.9%
1-07.2%
3-17%
2-25.9%

Half-time / full-time

AFC Fylde / AFC Fylde38.3%
Draw / AFC Fylde17%
AFC Hornchurch / AFC Hornchurch11.8%
Draw / Draw10.7%
Draw / AFC Hornchurch7.3%

Questions about AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch

AFC Fylde or AFC Hornchurch: which side does the model back?

The model gives AFC Fylde the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?

The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. AFC Fylde find the net in 89% of simulated matches and AFC Hornchurch in 71%.

What time does AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch kick off?

Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, AFC Fylde v AFC HornchurchAFC Fylde to win, 58%
1.60Bet