Worthing vs Southend prediction

Our Worthing vs Southend prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the Worthing vs Southend prediction for Tuesday, 27 October 2026: 37% home, 22% draw and 41% away in the National League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 3.63 in total, split 1.77 to Worthing and 1.86 to Southend. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 69% and both teams to score 71%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Worthing vs Southend is worthing or Southend (no draw), a 78% chance. At 1.23 with Melbet the market prices it at 81%, against 78% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Worthing vs Southend.

Form check: Worthing have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 10 conceded, Southend 1 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 11.

Goals forecast for Worthing vs Southend with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 31% and under 3.5 51%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 88% and over 2.5 at 69%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.42 at Melbet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 71%, built from Worthing scoring in 83% of runs and Southend in 84%; clean sheets come at 16% for Worthing and 17% for Southend.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 8.7%, followed by 1-2 (8.1%) and 2-1 (7.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Southend, full-time Southend is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.