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Live 23 UTC
National League Round 15 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
AFC FyldeHomeWWLWW
3:1Half-time 0:1
HartlepoolAwayWLWLL
562222
AFC Fylde winDrawHartlepool win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
3.26
2.04 : 1.22
Favourite
56%
AFC Fylde
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.623.984.231.452.411.502.38Bet
22Bet1.844.083.571.502.501.542.38Bet
BC.Game1.753.903.901.482.501.472.42Bet
Betwinner1.844.083.571.502.501.542.38Bet
Melbet1.844.083.571.502.501.542.38Bet
Stake1.783.853.751.472.451.482.36Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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AFC Fylde to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best AFC Fylde price at 1.84, Melbet lead the draw at 4.08 and 1xBet have Hartlepool longest at 4.23.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.50 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.50 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.54 (Melbet) and no 2.42 (BC.Game).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

56%

Our prediction

AFC Fylde to win
StrongExpected goals 2.04 : 1.22+2.6% against the best price
Double chanceAFC Fylde or draw
78% chance1.27
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.50
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AFC Fylde, full-time AFC Fylde
36% chance2.77fair

AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool odds movement

AFC Fylde win1.84unchanged
Draw4.08-0.12
Hartlepool win4.23-0.08
Over 2.5 goals1.50-0.02
Under 2.5 goals2.50-0.08

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool prediction

Our AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool prediction and pick

AFC Fylde are a narrow favourite in the AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool prediction, rated 56% to win this National League match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Hartlepool sit at 22% and the draw at 22%.

AFC Fylde are expected to score 2.04 and Hartlepool 1.22, so the total line is 3.26 goals; over 2.5 lands at 63% and BTTS at 62%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

AFC Fylde to win is the main selection, rated 56%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.84. That price implies 54%, 1 points under the model figure.

AFC Fylde or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.27.

AFC Fylde average 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Hartlepool 2.0 and 2.4 across 5.

Goals forecast for AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.50 at 22Bet.

Both teams to score is 62%: AFC Fylde find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Hartlepool in 71%. AFC Fylde keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Hartlepool 13%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.7%, followed by 1-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time AFC Fylde, full-time AFC Fylde leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

AFC Fylde to win56%1.84
Draw22%4.08
Hartlepool to win22%4.23
AFC Fylde, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Hartlepool, draw no bet28%fair 3.56

Double chance

AFC Fylde or draw78%1.27
Hartlepool or draw44%2.05
AFC Fylde or Hartlepool (no draw)78%1.21

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals63%1.50
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.43
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.35
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.10
Under 2.5 goals37%2.50
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.70

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.54
Not both teams to score38%2.42

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.32
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

AFC Fylde to score87%fair 1.15
Hartlepool to score71%fair 1.42
AFC Fylde clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Hartlepool clean sheet13%fair 7.69
AFC Fylde to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Hartlepool to win to nil12%fair 8.33

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.7%
1-19.6%
2-08%
1-07.8%
3-16.6%
2-25.9%

Half-time / full-time

AFC Fylde / AFC Fylde36.1%
Draw / AFC Fylde16.8%
Hartlepool / Hartlepool12.7%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Draw / Hartlepool7.9%

Questions about AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool

Who will win AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?

The model gives AFC Fylde the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool correct score: what does the model say?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. AFC Fylde find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Hartlepool in 71%.

What time does AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool kick off?

Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, AFC Fylde v HartlepoolAFC Fylde to win, 56%
1.84Bet