AFC FyldeHomeWWLWW
HartlepoolAwayWLWLL
AFC FyldeHomeWWLWW
HartlepoolAwayWLWLL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | 3.98 | 4.23 | 1.45 | 2.41 | 1.50 | 2.38 | Bet | |
| 1.84 | 4.08 | 3.57 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet | |
| 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.48 | 2.50 | 1.47 | 2.42 | Bet | |
| 1.84 | 4.08 | 3.57 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet | |
| 1.84 | 4.08 | 3.57 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet | |
| 1.78 | 3.85 | 3.75 | 1.47 | 2.45 | 1.48 | 2.36 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Melbet pay the best AFC Fylde price at 1.84, Melbet lead the draw at 4.08 and 1xBet have Hartlepool longest at 4.23.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.50 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.50 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.54 (Melbet) and no 2.42 (BC.Game).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
AFC Fylde are a narrow favourite in the AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool prediction, rated 56% to win this National League match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Hartlepool sit at 22% and the draw at 22%.
AFC Fylde are expected to score 2.04 and Hartlepool 1.22, so the total line is 3.26 goals; over 2.5 lands at 63% and BTTS at 62%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
AFC Fylde to win is the main selection, rated 56%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.84. That price implies 54%, 1 points under the model figure.
AFC Fylde or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.27.
AFC Fylde average 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Hartlepool 2.0 and 2.4 across 5.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.50 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 62%: AFC Fylde find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Hartlepool in 71%. AFC Fylde keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Hartlepool 13%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.7%, followed by 1-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time AFC Fylde, full-time AFC Fylde leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives AFC Fylde the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. AFC Fylde find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Hartlepool in 71%.
Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.