Championship
Round 14 Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Kick-off
WrexhamHomeDLWLL
Wed 4 Nov
MiddlesbroughAwayWWDWW232255
Wrexham winDrawMiddlesbrough win
Championship
Round 14 Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Kick-off
WrexhamHomeDLWLLMiddlesbroughAwayWWDWW- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.09 1.17 : 1.92
- Favourite
- 55% Middlesbrough
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.12 | 3.90 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.62 | 2.17 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.13 | 3.90 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.62 | 2.17 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.72 | 1.60 | 2.22 | 1.57 | 2.18 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.13 | 3.90 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.62 | 2.17 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.13 | 3.90 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.62 | 2.17 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.10 | 3.95 | 1.74 | 1.59 | 2.22 | 1.60 | 2.15 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Middlesbrough to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction: Wrexham 4.20 (BC.Game), draw 3.95 (Stake), Middlesbrough 1.75 (22Bet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 94.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.65 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.22 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (1xBet) and no 2.18 (BC.Game).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
55%
Our prediction
Middlesbrough to win
Double chanceWrexham or Middlesbrough (no draw)
78% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.65
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Middlesbrough, full-time Middlesbrough
35% chance2.88fair
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction and best bet
Middlesbrough are a narrow favourite in the Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction, rated 55% to win this Championship match on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Wrexham sit at 23% and the draw at 22%.
Expected goals are 1.17 for Wrexham and 1.92 for Middlesbrough, a total of 3.09, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 59%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Middlesbrough to win is the main selection, rated 55%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.75. That price implies 57%, 2 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, wrexham or Middlesbrough (no draw) covers 78% of outcomes at 1.23.
Form check: Wrexham have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 7 conceded, Middlesbrough 4 of 5 scoring 14 and conceding 5.
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 63%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 81% and over 2.5 at 60%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; 1xBet pay 1.65.
Both teams to score is 59%: Wrexham find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Middlesbrough in 85%. Wrexham keep a clean sheet 15% of the time and Middlesbrough 31%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%, followed by 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-1 (8.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Middlesbrough, full-time Middlesbrough is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.
All markets, Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
The grid built from 1.17 and 1.92 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Wrexham to win23%4.20
Draw22%3.95
Middlesbrough to win55%1.75
Wrexham, draw no bet30%fair 3.39
Middlesbrough, draw no bet71%fair 1.42
Double chance
Wrexham or draw45%2.02
Middlesbrough or draw77%1.21
Wrexham or Middlesbrough (no draw)78%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals60%1.65
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.68
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.00
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 2.5 goals40%2.22
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.59
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.62
Not both teams to score41%2.18
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.47
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Wrexham to score69%fair 1.45
Middlesbrough to score85%fair 1.17
Wrexham clean sheet15%fair 6.80
Middlesbrough clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Wrexham to win to nil14%fair 7.41
Middlesbrough to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.2%
1-29.8%
0-18.7%
0-28.4%
1-36.3%
2-16%
Half-time / full-time
Middlesbrough / Middlesbrough34.7%
Draw / Middlesbrough16.9%
Wrexham / Wrexham13%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Draw / Wrexham8.3%
Questions about Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
Who is favourite in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
The model gives Middlesbrough the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Wrexham find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Middlesbrough in 85%.
When do Wrexham play Middlesbrough?
Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.