Championship
Round 15 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
CardiffHomeLWDWL
Sat 7 Nov
BurnleyAwayWDLLD442432
Cardiff winDrawBurnley win
Championship
Round 15 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
CardiffHomeLWDWLBurnleyAwayWDLLD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.44 1.87 : 1.57
- Favourite
- 44% Cardiff
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 68% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Cardiff vs Burnley
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.21 | 3.80 | 2.82 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.38 | 2.81 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.24 | 3.70 | 2.80 | 1.46 | 2.56 | 1.40 | 2.64 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.21 | 3.80 | 2.82 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.38 | 2.81 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.21 | 3.80 | 2.82 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.38 | 2.81 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.22 | 3.75 | 2.80 | 1.46 | 2.55 | 1.43 | 2.55 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cardiff to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Cardiff vs Burnley prediction: Cardiff 2.24 (BC.Game), draw 3.80 (22Bet), Burnley 2.82 (22Bet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 94%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.46 (Stake) and under 2.5 2.56 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.43 (Stake) and no 2.81 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
76%
Our prediction
Cardiff or Burnley (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.46
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.43
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance10.64fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cardiff, full-time Cardiff
28% chance3.58fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.27fair
Cardiff vs Burnley prediction
Cardiff vs Burnley prediction and best bet
Cardiff host Burnley on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the Championship, and the model has Cardiff at 44%, the draw at 24% and Burnley at 32%: that is the Cardiff vs Burnley prediction in one line.
Cardiff are expected to score 1.87 and Burnley 1.57, so the total line is 3.44 goals; over 2.5 lands at 66% and BTTS at 68%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is cardiff or Burnley (no draw) at 76%. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.24. That price implies 81%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Cardiff stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Burnley show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Cardiff vs Burnley with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 34% and under 3.5 55%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 66%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; Stake pay 1.46.
The chance of both teams scoring is 68%, built from Cardiff scoring in 85% of runs and Burnley in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for Cardiff and 15% for Burnley.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Cardiff vs Burnley: 1-1 (9.4%), 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.4%).
With the top scoreline at 9.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Cardiff vs Burnley; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Cardiff, full-time Cardiff is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.
Every market for Cardiff vs Burnley
The grid built from 1.87 and 1.57 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Cardiff to win44%2.24
Draw24%3.80
Burnley to win32%2.82
Cardiff, draw no bet58%fair 1.72
Burnley, draw no bet42%fair 2.39
Double chance
Cardiff or draw68%1.40
Burnley or draw56%1.62
Cardiff or Burnley (no draw)76%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.46
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.22
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.80
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.04
Under 2.5 goals34%2.56
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.82
BTTS
Both teams to score68%1.43
Not both teams to score32%2.81
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.18
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Cardiff to score85%fair 1.18
Burnley to score79%fair 1.26
Cardiff clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Burnley clean sheet15%fair 6.49
Cardiff to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Burnley to win to nil14%fair 7.04
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.4%
2-18.8%
1-27.4%
2-26.9%
1-06%
2-05.6%
Half-time / full-time
Cardiff / Cardiff27.9%
Burnley / Burnley19.4%
Draw / Cardiff13.8%
Draw / Draw11.4%
Draw / Burnley10.7%
Questions about Cardiff vs Burnley
Who is favourite in Cardiff vs Burnley?
The model gives Cardiff the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 24%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Cardiff vs Burnley?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 66%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Cardiff vs Burnley?
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Cardiff find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Burnley in 79%.
When do Cardiff play Burnley?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.