Championship
Round 15 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
PortsmouthHomeWWDWD
Sat 7 Nov
Stoke CityAwayWLWDW392833
Portsmouth winDrawStoke City win
Championship
Round 15 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
PortsmouthHomeWWDWDStoke CityAwayWLWDW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.45 1.29 : 1.16
- Favourite
- 39% Portsmouth
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Portsmouth vs Stoke City odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.41 | 3.25 | 2.88 | 2.09 | 1.69 | 1.82 | 1.88 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.38 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 1.82 | 1.84 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.41 | 3.25 | 2.88 | 2.09 | 1.69 | 1.82 | 1.88 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.41 | 3.25 | 2.88 | 2.09 | 1.69 | 1.82 | 1.88 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.07 | 1.67 | 1.85 | 1.82 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Portsmouth to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Portsmouth vs Stoke City prediction: Portsmouth 2.41 (22Bet), draw 3.30 (Stake), Stoke City 2.90 (Stake).
The best-price payout across the three results is 94.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.10 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.69 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (Stake) and no 1.88 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Portsmouth or Stoke City (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Portsmouth, full-time Portsmouth
23% chance4.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
Portsmouth vs Stoke City prediction
Portsmouth vs Stoke City prediction and best bet
The Portsmouth vs Stoke City prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Championship on Saturday, 7 November 2026 gives Portsmouth a 39% chance, Stoke City 33% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.29 for Portsmouth and 1.16 for Stoke City, a total of 2.45, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 51%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is portsmouth or Stoke City (no draw) at 72%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Portsmouth vs Stoke City.
Form check: Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 4 conceded, Stoke City 3 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Portsmouth vs Stoke City
On the goal lines Portsmouth vs Stoke City reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.69 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Portsmouth scoring in 73% of runs and Stoke City in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for Portsmouth and 28% for Stoke City.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Portsmouth vs Stoke City: 1-1 (12.9%), 1-0 (11.1%) and 0-1 (10%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Portsmouth, full-time Portsmouth is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
All markets, Portsmouth vs Stoke City
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 28% / 33% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Portsmouth to win39%2.41
Draw28%3.30
Stoke City to win33%2.90
Portsmouth, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
Stoke City, draw no bet45%fair 2.21
Double chance
Portsmouth or draw68%1.38
Stoke City or draw61%1.54
Portsmouth or Stoke City (no draw)72%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.10
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.80
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.36
Under 2.5 goals56%1.69
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.85
Not both teams to score49%1.88
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.31
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Portsmouth to score73%fair 1.38
Stoke City to score69%fair 1.46
Portsmouth clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Stoke City clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Portsmouth to win to nil29%fair 3.47
Stoke City to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
1-011.1%
0-110%
0-08.6%
2-18.3%
1-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
Portsmouth / Portsmouth23.1%
Stoke City / Stoke City19%
Draw / Draw17.2%
Draw / Portsmouth14.4%
Draw / Stoke City12.4%
Questions about Portsmouth vs Stoke City
Who is favourite in Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
The model gives Portsmouth the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Portsmouth find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Stoke City in 69%.
What time does Portsmouth vs Stoke City kick off?
Portsmouth vs Stoke City starts at 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.