Championship
Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
Stoke CityHomeWLWDW
0:0Half-time 0:0
Bristol CityAwayDLLDW412930
Stoke City winDrawBristol City win
Championship
Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
Stoke CityHomeWLWDWBristol CityAwayDLLDW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.53 1.37 : 1.16
- Favourite
- 41% Stoke City
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Stoke City vs Bristol City betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.18 | 2.84 | 2.01 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.97 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Stoke City to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Stoke City vs Bristol City are 2.45 for Stoke City at 1xBet, 3.18 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.84 for Bristol City at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.01 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.75 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (1xBet) and no 1.97 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Stoke City or Bristol City (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Stoke City, full-time Stoke City
25% chance4.07fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Stoke City vs Bristol City odds movement
Stoke City win2.45-0.02
Draw3.18-0.17
Bristol City win2.84-0.27
Over 2.5 goals2.01-0.11
Under 2.5 goals1.75-0.03
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction
Our Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction and pick
Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction for the Championship on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Stoke City marginally ahead at 41%, with the draw at 29% and Bristol City at 31%.
Expected goals are 1.37 for Stoke City and 1.16 for Bristol City, a total of 2.53, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 53%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Stoke City vs Bristol City is stoke City or Bristol City (no draw), a 71% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Stoke City vs Bristol City.
Stoke City average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Bristol City 0.8 and 1.0 across 5.
How many goals in Stoke City vs Bristol City? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Stoke City vs Bristol City reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.75 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 53%. Stoke City score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for Bristol City; Bristol City score in 69% while Stoke City shut them out 31% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 1-0 at 10.9% and 0-1 at 9.2%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Stoke City, full-time Stoke City is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
Every market for Stoke City vs Bristol City
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 41% / 29% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Stoke City to win41%2.45
Draw29%3.18
Bristol City to win31%2.84
Stoke City, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Bristol City, draw no bet43%fair 2.34
Double chance
Stoke City or draw70%1.38
Bristol City or draw59%1.50
Stoke City or Bristol City (no draw)71%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.01
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.85
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Under 2.5 goals54%1.75
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.75
Not both teams to score47%1.97
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.17
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Stoke City to score75%fair 1.34
Bristol City to score69%fair 1.46
Stoke City clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Bristol City clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Stoke City to win to nil29%fair 3.47
Bristol City to win to nil23%fair 4.27
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
1-010.9%
0-19.2%
2-18.7%
0-08%
2-07.5%
Half-time / full-time
Stoke City / Stoke City24.6%
Bristol City / Bristol City18.1%
Draw / Draw16.6%
Draw / Stoke City14.8%
Draw / Bristol City11.8%
Questions about Stoke City vs Bristol City
Stoke City or Bristol City: which side does the model back?
The model gives Stoke City the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Stoke City vs Bristol City?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Stoke City vs Bristol City both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Stoke City find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Bristol City in 69%.
What time does Stoke City vs Bristol City kick off?
Stoke City vs Bristol City starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.