Primera Division
AlianzaHomeDLWDL
1:0Half-time 1:0
Isidro MetapánAwayLWDLD343036
Alianza winDrawIsidro Metapán win
AlianzaHomeDLWDLIsidro MetapánAwayLWDLD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.46 1.22 : 1.24
- Favourite
- 36% Isidro Metapán
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Alianza vs Isidro Metapán odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.69 | 2.92 | 2.45 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.78 | 1.89 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Isidro Metapán to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Alianza vs Isidro Metapán are 2.69 for Alianza at 1xBet, 2.92 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.45 for Isidro Metapán at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.05 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.66 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (1xBet) and no 1.89 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
70%
Our prediction
Alianza or Isidro Metapán (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.66
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Isidro Metapán, full-time Isidro Metapán
21% chance4.69fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Alianza vs Isidro Metapán prediction
Alianza vs Isidro Metapán prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Alianza vs Isidro Metapán prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 34% home, 30% draw and 36% away in the Primera Division. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.46 in total, split 1.22 to Alianza and 1.24 to Isidro Metapán. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Alianza or Isidro Metapán (no draw) is the main selection, rated 70%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 8 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Alianza vs Isidro Metapán.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 5 matches Alianza stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Isidro Metapán show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Alianza vs Isidro Metapán? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Alianza vs Isidro Metapán reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.66.
BTTS yes stands at 52%. Alianza score in 71% of simulations against a 30% clean sheet for Isidro Metapán; Isidro Metapán score in 71% while Alianza shut them out 29% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Alianza vs Isidro Metapán: 1-1 (12.9%), 0-1 (10.6%) and 1-0 (10.4%).
With the top scoreline at 12.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Alianza vs Isidro Metapán; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Isidro Metapán, full-time Isidro Metapán leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Alianza vs Isidro Metapán
The grid built from 1.22 and 1.24 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Alianza to win34%2.69
Draw30%2.92
Isidro Metapán to win36%2.45
Alianza, draw no bet49%fair 2.03
Isidro Metapán, draw no bet51%fair 1.97
Double chance
Alianza or draw65%1.40
Isidro Metapán or draw66%1.33
Alianza or Isidro Metapán (no draw)70%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.05
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.62
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.38
Under 2.5 goals56%1.66
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.78
Not both teams to score48%1.89
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.29
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Alianza to score71%fair 1.42
Isidro Metapán to score71%fair 1.41
Alianza clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Isidro Metapán clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Alianza to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Isidro Metapán to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
0-110.6%
1-010.4%
0-08.5%
1-28%
2-17.9%
Half-time / full-time
Isidro Metapán / Isidro Metapán21.3%
Alianza / Alianza20.7%
Draw / Draw17.2%
Draw / Isidro Metapán13.5%
Draw / Alianza13.2%
Questions about Alianza vs Isidro Metapán
Alianza or Isidro Metapán: which side does the model back?
The model gives Isidro Metapán the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Alianza find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Isidro Metapán in 71%.
What time does Alianza vs Isidro Metapán kick off?
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.