Skip to the predictions
Live 12 UTC
Primera Division Apertura - 17 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
PlatenseHomeWWWDD
1:1Half-time 1:0
FirpoAwayWDDLD
252550
Platense winDrawFirpo win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.71
1.08 : 1.63
Favourite
50%
Firpo
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Platense vs Firpo betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.743.421.821.841.831.731.95Bet
22Bet2.833.562.301.971.831.871.87Bet
BC.Game2.883.302.221.871.851.691.97Bet
Betwinner2.833.562.301.971.831.871.87Bet
Melbet3.163.282.051.971.831.692.01Bet
Stake2.903.302.281.841.801.681.98Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Firpo to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Platense vs Firpo prediction: Platense 3.74 (1xBet), draw 3.56 (22Bet), Firpo 2.30 (22Bet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 101.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.85 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (22Bet) and no 2.01 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

50%

Our prediction

Firpo to win
LeanExpected goals 1.08 : 1.63+15.5% against the best price
Double chancePlatense or Firpo (no draw)
75% chance1.28
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.97
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Firpo, full-time Firpo
31% chance3.25fair

Platense vs Firpo prediction

Our Platense vs Firpo prediction and pick

Firpo are a narrow favourite in the Platense vs Firpo prediction, rated 50% to win this Primera Division match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Platense sit at 25% and the draw at 25%.

The goal expectancy is 2.71 in total, split 1.08 to Platense and 1.63 to Firpo. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 53%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is firpo to win at 50%. 22Bet offer the top price at 2.30. That price implies 43%, 7 points under the model figure.

A 15.5% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

For a safer line, platense or Firpo (no draw) covers 75% of outcomes at 1.28.

Over the last 5 matches Platense stand at 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Firpo show 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Platense vs Firpo

Under 2.5 goals is rated 49% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 51%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.97 at Betwinner.

Both teams to score is 53%: Platense find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Firpo in 80%. Platense keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Firpo 34%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.7%, then 0-1 at 10.8% and 1-2 at 9.5%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Firpo, full-time Firpo is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

All markets, Platense vs Firpo

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 25% / 25% / 50% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Platense to win25%3.74
Draw25%3.56
Firpo to win50%2.30
Platense, draw no bet33%fair 2.99
Firpo, draw no bet67%fair 1.50

Double chance

Platense or draw50%1.79
Firpo or draw75%1.40
Platense or Firpo (no draw)75%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals51%1.97
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.47
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.19
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Under 2.5 goals49%1.85
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.40

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.87
Not both teams to score47%2.01

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.91
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

Platense to score66%fair 1.52
Firpo to score80%fair 1.24
Platense clean sheet20%fair 5.10
Firpo clean sheet34%fair 2.94
Platense to win to nil18%fair 5.56
Firpo to win to nil31%fair 3.21

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
0-110.8%
1-29.5%
0-28.8%
1-07.2%
0-06.7%

Half-time / full-time

Firpo / Firpo30.8%
Draw / Firpo16.7%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Platense / Platense14.1%
Draw / Platense9.5%

Questions about Platense vs Firpo

Platense or Firpo: which side does the model back?

The model gives Firpo the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Platense vs Firpo?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Platense vs Firpo?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Platense find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Firpo in 80%.

When do Platense play Firpo?

Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Platense v FirpoFirpo to win, 50%
2.30Bet