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Primera Division Apertura - 17 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
Municipal LimeñoHomeLLWDD
3:3Half-time 1:2
CacahuatiqueAwayLLDDW
532621
Municipal Limeño winDrawCacahuatique win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.67
1.69 : 0.98
Favourite
53%
Municipal Limeño
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.763.344.161.851.821.751.93Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Municipal Limeño to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique prediction: Municipal Limeño 1.76 (1xBet), draw 3.34 (1xBet), Cacahuatique 4.16 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 90.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.85 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.82 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (1xBet) and no 1.93 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

53%

Our prediction

Municipal Limeño to win
StrongExpected goals 1.69 : 0.98-6% against the best price
Double chanceMunicipal Limeño or draw
80% chance1.15
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.82
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Municipal Limeño, full-time Municipal Limeño
34% chance2.98fair

Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique prediction

Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique prediction and best bet

Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique prediction for the Primera Division on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Municipal Limeño a narrow favourite at 53%, with the draw at 26% and Cacahuatique at 21%.

Expected goals are 1.69 for Municipal Limeño and 0.98 for Cacahuatique, a total of 2.67, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique is municipal Limeño to win, a 53% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.76. That price implies 57%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique.

For a safer line, municipal Limeño or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.15.

Form check: Municipal Limeño have won 1 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 10 conceded, Cacahuatique 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 9.

Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique reads 75% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.82 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. Municipal Limeño score in 82% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Cacahuatique; Cacahuatique score in 63% while Municipal Limeño shut them out 38% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique: 1-0 (11.7%), 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Municipal Limeño, full-time Municipal Limeño is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.

Every market for Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique

The grid built from 1.69 and 0.98 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Municipal Limeño to win53%1.76
Draw26%3.34
Cacahuatique to win21%4.16
Municipal Limeño, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Cacahuatique, draw no bet28%fair 3.60

Double chance

Municipal Limeño or draw80%1.15
Cacahuatique or draw47%1.85
Municipal Limeño or Cacahuatique (no draw)74%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.85
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.52
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.94
Under 2.5 goals51%1.82
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.75
Not both teams to score47%1.93

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.96
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Municipal Limeño to score82%fair 1.23
Cacahuatique to score63%fair 1.60
Municipal Limeño clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Cacahuatique clean sheet19%fair 5.41
Municipal Limeño to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Cacahuatique to win to nil17%fair 5.88

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-011.7%
1-111.5%
2-09.9%
2-19.7%
0-06.9%
0-16.8%

Half-time / full-time

Municipal Limeño / Municipal Limeño33.6%
Draw / Municipal Limeño17.8%
Draw / Draw14.8%
Cacahuatique / Cacahuatique12.1%
Draw / Cacahuatique8.4%

Questions about Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique

Who is favourite in Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique?

The model gives Municipal Limeño the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.

Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Municipal Limeño find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Cacahuatique in 63%.

What time does Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique kick off?

Kick-off is 00:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Municipal Limeño v CacahuatiqueMunicipal Limeño to win, 53%
1.76Bet