Primera Division
Atletico BalboaHomeLLDWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
AlianzaAwayDLWDL292744
Atletico Balboa winDrawAlianza win
Atletico BalboaHomeLLDWWAlianzaAwayDLWDL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.74 1.22 : 1.52
- Favourite
- 43% Alianza
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.08 | 3.22 | 2.11 | 1.77 | 1.90 | 1.62 | 2.12 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.94 | 3.78 | 2.15 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.00 | 3.35 | 2.14 | 1.80 | 1.93 | 1.63 | 2.06 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.08 | 3.22 | 2.11 | 1.77 | 1.90 | 1.62 | 2.12 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.94 | 3.78 | 2.15 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.05 | 3.35 | 2.15 | 1.77 | 1.87 | 1.64 | 2.04 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Alianza to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Atletico Balboa vs Alianza are 3.08 for Atletico Balboa at Betwinner, 3.78 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.15 for Alianza at Stake.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.89 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.93 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (22Bet) and no 2.12 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Atletico Balboa or Alianza (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Alianza, full-time Alianza
27% chance3.76fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fairLost
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza odds movement
Atletico Balboa win3.08-0.06
Draw3.78unchanged
Alianza win2.15-0.03
Over 2.5 goals1.89unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.93-0.07
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza prediction
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza prediction and best bet
Atletico Balboa host Alianza on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Primera Division, and the model has Alianza at 43%, the draw at 27% and Atletico Balboa at 29%: that is the Atletico Balboa vs Alianza prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.22 for Atletico Balboa and 1.52 for Alianza, a total of 2.74, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 57%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is atletico Balboa or Alianza (no draw) at 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at Stake, which implies 79%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Atletico Balboa average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Alianza 0.4 and 0.6 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Atletico Balboa vs Alianza
Under 2.5 goals is rated 49% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 51%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.89 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 57%: Atletico Balboa find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Alianza in 78%. Atletico Balboa keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Alianza 30%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, followed by 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.1%).
With the top scoreline at 12%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Atletico Balboa vs Alianza; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Alianza, full-time Alianza is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market for Atletico Balboa vs Alianza
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 29% / 27% / 43% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Atletico Balboa to win29%3.08
Draw27%3.78
Alianza to win43%2.15
Atletico Balboa, draw no bet41%fair 2.47
Alianza, draw no bet60%fair 1.68
Double chance
Atletico Balboa or draw57%1.65
Alianza or draw71%1.37
Atletico Balboa or Alianza (no draw)73%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.89
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.15
Under 2.5 goals49%1.93
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.42
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.82
Not both teams to score43%2.12
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Atletico Balboa to score71%fair 1.42
Alianza to score78%fair 1.28
Atletico Balboa clean sheet22%fair 4.57
Alianza clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Atletico Balboa to win to nil20%fair 4.98
Alianza to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112%
0-19.8%
1-29.1%
1-07.9%
0-27.5%
2-17.3%
Half-time / full-time
Alianza / Alianza26.6%
Atletico Balboa / Atletico Balboa17.5%
Draw / Alianza15.1%
Draw / Draw15%
Draw / Atletico Balboa11.1%
Questions about Atletico Balboa vs Alianza
Who will win Atletico Balboa vs Alianza?
The model gives Alianza the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Atletico Balboa vs Alianza?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Atletico Balboa find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Alianza in 78%.
When do Atletico Balboa play Alianza?
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.