Primera Division
Fuerte San FranciscoHomeDWLLL
1:2Half-time 1:1
Atletico BalboaAwayLLDWW382933
Fuerte San Francisco winDrawAtletico Balboa win
Fuerte San FranciscoHomeDWLLLAtletico BalboaAwayLLDWW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.64 1.38 : 1.26
- Favourite
- 38% Fuerte San Francisco
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.05 | 2.71 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.69 | 2.00 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.36 | 3.35 | 2.88 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.38 | 3.15 | 2.76 | 1.90 | 1.82 | 1.69 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.36 | 3.35 | 2.88 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.35 | 3.05 | 2.71 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.69 | 2.01 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.37 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1.65 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Fuerte San Francisco to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa prediction: Fuerte San Francisco 2.38 (BC.Game), draw 3.35 (22Bet), Atletico Balboa 2.88 (22Bet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.83 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (Betwinner) and no 2.02 (Stake).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Fuerte San Francisco or Atletico Balboa (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fuerte San Francisco, full-time Fuerte San Francisco
24% chance4.26fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.44fair
Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa prediction
Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa prediction for Sunday, 25 October 2026: 38% home, 29% draw and 33% away in the Primera Division. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.64 in total, split 1.38 to Fuerte San Francisco and 1.26 to Atletico Balboa. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is fuerte San Francisco or Atletico Balboa (no draw) at 71%. At 1.30 with 22Bet the market prices it at 77%, against 71% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Fuerte San Francisco have won 1 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 11 conceded, Atletico Balboa 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 7.
How many goals in Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; Betwinner pay 1.83.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. Fuerte San Francisco score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for Atletico Balboa; Atletico Balboa score in 72% while Fuerte San Francisco shut them out 28% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa: 1-1 (12.4%), 1-0 (9.8%) and 0-1 (9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Fuerte San Francisco, full-time Fuerte San Francisco leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa
The grid built from 1.38 and 1.26 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Fuerte San Francisco to win38%2.38
Draw29%3.35
Atletico Balboa to win33%2.88
Fuerte San Francisco, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
Atletico Balboa, draw no bet46%fair 2.17
Double chance
Fuerte San Francisco or draw67%1.38
Atletico Balboa or draw62%1.55
Fuerte San Francisco or Atletico Balboa (no draw)71%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%1.97
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals51%1.83
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.82
Not both teams to score46%2.02
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
Fuerte San Francisco to score75%fair 1.34
Atletico Balboa to score72%fair 1.40
Fuerte San Francisco clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Atletico Balboa clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Fuerte San Francisco to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Atletico Balboa to win to nil23%fair 4.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.4%
1-09.8%
0-19%
2-18.6%
1-27.8%
0-07.1%
Half-time / full-time
Fuerte San Francisco / Fuerte San Francisco23.5%
Atletico Balboa / Atletico Balboa19.8%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Draw / Fuerte San Francisco14%
Draw / Atletico Balboa12.4%
Questions about Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa
Who is favourite in Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa?
The model gives Fuerte San Francisco the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Fuerte San Francisco find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Atletico Balboa in 72%.
When do Fuerte San Francisco play Atletico Balboa?
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.