Primera Division
ÁguilaHomeWWDWW
3:1Half-time 1:1
FASAwayWLDLD392932
Águila winDrawFAS win
ÁguilaHomeWWDWWFASAwayWLDLD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.63 1.40 : 1.23
- Favourite
- 39% Águila
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Águila vs FAS odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.14 | 2.82 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.69 | 2.00 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Águila to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Águila vs FAS prediction: Águila 2.29 (1xBet), draw 3.14 (1xBet), FAS 2.82 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (1xBet) and no 2.00 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Águila or FAS (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Águila, full-time Águila
24% chance4.13fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.44fair
Águila vs FAS prediction
Our Águila vs FAS prediction and pick
The Águila vs FAS prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Primera Division on Saturday, 24 October 2026 gives Águila a 39% chance, FAS 31% and the draw 29%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 2.63 in total, split 1.40 to Águila and 1.23 to FAS. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 55%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is Águila or FAS (no draw) at 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 9 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Águila have won 4 of their last 5 with 16 scored and 7 conceded, FAS 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 7.
Águila vs FAS goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 73%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.79.
BTTS yes stands at 55%. Águila score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for FAS; FAS score in 71% while Águila shut them out 29% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.4%, then 1-0 at 10.1% and 0-1 at 8.9%.
With the top scoreline at 12.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Águila vs FAS; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Águila, full-time Águila leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Águila vs FAS
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 29% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Águila to win39%2.29
Draw29%3.14
FAS to win31%2.82
Águila, draw no bet56%fair 1.80
FAS, draw no bet45%fair 2.25
Double chance
Águila or draw69%1.32
FAS or draw61%1.49
Águila or FAS (no draw)71%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals49%1.88
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Under 2.5 goals51%1.79
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.69
Not both teams to score45%2.00
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.02
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
Águila to score75%fair 1.33
FAS to score71%fair 1.41
Águila clean sheet29%fair 3.42
FAS clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Águila to win to nil27%fair 3.72
FAS to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.4%
1-010.1%
0-18.9%
2-18.7%
1-27.6%
0-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
Águila / Águila24.2%
FAS / FAS19%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Draw / Águila14.4%
Draw / FAS12%
Questions about Águila vs FAS
Who will win Águila vs FAS?
The model gives Águila the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Águila vs FAS?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Águila vs FAS?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Águila find the net in 75% of simulated matches and FAS in 71%.
When is Águila vs FAS and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.