Liga Pro
Leones del NorteHomeDLLWW
4:1Half-time 1:1
LibertadAwayWWWLD452827
Leones del Norte winDrawLibertad win
Leones del NorteHomeDLLWWLibertadAwayWWWLD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.53 1.46 : 1.07
- Favourite
- 45% Leones del Norte
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Leones del Norte vs Libertad betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.39 | 3.68 | 1.98 | 1.77 | 1.78 | 1.91 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Leones del Norte to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Leones del Norte price at 1.99, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.39 and 1xBet have Libertad longest at 3.68.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.98 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.77 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (1xBet) and no 1.91 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Leones del Norte or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.77
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Leones del Norte, full-time Leones del Norte
28% chance3.61fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Leones del Norte v Libertad head to head
0Leones del Norte wins
0Draws
1Libertad wins
- 9 Oct 26Libertad3:0Leones del Norte
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Leones del Norte scored 0, Libertad scored 3.
Leones del Norte vs Libertad prediction
Leones del Norte vs Libertad prediction and best bet
The Leones del Norte vs Libertad prediction leans to Leones del Norte: 45% against 27% for Libertad, with 28% left for the draw, in the Liga Pro on Sunday, 25 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.46 for Leones del Norte and 1.07 for Libertad, a total of 2.53, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Leones del Norte vs Libertad is leones del Norte or draw, a 73% chance. At 1.25 with 1xBet the market prices it at 80%, against 73% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Leones del Norte vs Libertad.
Leones del Norte average 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Libertad 2.0 and 1.0 across 5.
Leones del Norte vs Libertad goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 46%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 54% and under 3.5 is 75%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.77.
Both teams to score is 51%: Leones del Norte find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Libertad in 66%. Leones del Norte keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and Libertad 23%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.4%, then 1-0 at 11.6% and 2-1 at 9.1%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Leones del Norte, full-time Leones del Norte is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
All markets, Leones del Norte vs Libertad
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 45% / 28% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Leones del Norte to win45%1.99
Draw28%3.39
Libertad to win27%3.68
Leones del Norte, draw no bet63%fair 1.60
Libertad, draw no bet37%fair 2.67
Double chance
Leones del Norte or draw73%1.25
Libertad or draw55%1.76
Leones del Norte or Libertad (no draw)72%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%1.98
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.85
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Under 2.5 goals54%1.77
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.78
Not both teams to score49%1.91
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.17
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Leones del Norte to score77%fair 1.30
Libertad to score66%fair 1.52
Leones del Norte clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Libertad clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Leones del Norte to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Libertad to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.4%
1-011.6%
2-19.1%
0-18.5%
2-08.5%
0-08%
Half-time / full-time
Leones del Norte / Leones del Norte27.7%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Draw / Leones del Norte16.1%
Libertad / Libertad15.6%
Draw / Libertad10.5%
Questions about Leones del Norte vs Libertad
Leones del Norte or Libertad: which side does the model back?
The model gives Leones del Norte the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Leones del Norte vs Libertad?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Leones del Norte vs Libertad?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Leones del Norte find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Libertad in 66%.
What time does Leones del Norte vs Libertad kick off?
Leones del Norte vs Libertad starts at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.