Liga Pro
LibertadHomeWWWLD
4:0Half-time 1:0
Guayaquil City FCAwayDWLWD522721
Libertad winDrawGuayaquil City FC win
LibertadHomeWWWLDGuayaquil City FCAwayDWLWD- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.48 1.56 : 0.92
- Favourite
- 52% Libertad
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.38 | 4.23 | 2.09 | 1.69 | 1.88 | 1.81 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Libertad to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Libertad price at 1.86, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.38 and 1xBet have Guayaquil City FC longest at 4.23.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.09 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.69 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.88 (1xBet) and no 1.81 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
52%
Our prediction
Libertad to win
Double chanceLibertad or draw
79% chance1.20
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.69
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Libertad, full-time Libertad
32% chance3.13fair
Libertad v Guayaquil City FC head to head
0Libertad wins
1Draw
0Guayaquil City FC wins
- 1 Nov 26Guayaquil City FC0:0Libertad
1 meeting since coverage began, 0 goals in total: Libertad scored 0, Guayaquil City FC scored 0.
Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC prediction
Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC prediction, who wins and at what price
Libertad are a narrow favourite in the Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC prediction, rated 52% to win this Liga Pro match on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Guayaquil City FC sit at 21% and the draw at 27%.
Expected goals are 1.56 for Libertad and 0.92 for Guayaquil City FC, a total of 2.48, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 49%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC is libertad to win, a 52% chance. At 1.86 with 1xBet the market prices it at 54%, against 52% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Libertad or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.20.
Form check: Libertad have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 5 conceded, Guayaquil City FC 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 7.
A low-scoring Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.69.
BTTS yes stands at 49%. Libertad score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Guayaquil City FC; Guayaquil City FC score in 60% while Libertad shut them out 40% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC: 1-0 (13.1%), 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (10.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Libertad, full-time Libertad leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 52% / 27% / 21% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Libertad to win52%1.86
Draw27%3.38
Guayaquil City FC to win21%4.23
Libertad, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
Guayaquil City FC, draw no bet29%fair 3.45
Double chance
Libertad or draw79%1.20
Guayaquil City FC or draw48%1.88
Libertad or Guayaquil City FC (no draw)73%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.09
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.43
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.44
Under 2.5 goals55%1.69
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.88
Not both teams to score51%1.81
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.26
Second-half goal74%fair 1.34
Team goals
Libertad to score79%fair 1.27
Guayaquil City FC to score60%fair 1.66
Libertad clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Guayaquil City FC clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Libertad to win to nil37%fair 2.72
Guayaquil City FC to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.1%
1-112%
2-010.2%
2-19.4%
0-08.4%
0-17.7%
Half-time / full-time
Libertad / Libertad32%
Draw / Libertad17.9%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Guayaquil City FC / Guayaquil City FC12.2%
Draw / Guayaquil City FC8.8%
Questions about Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC
Who is favourite in Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
The model gives Libertad the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Libertad find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Guayaquil City FC in 60%.
What time does Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC kick off?
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.