Skip to the predictions
Live 18 UTC
Liga Pro Relegation Group - 4 Monday, 26 October 2026 FT
Tecnico UniversitarioHomeDLLW
3:0Half-time 2:0
Mushuc Runa SCAwayDLDL
363034
Tecnico Universitario winDrawMushuc Runa SC win
Kick-off
Mon 26 Oct
Expected goals
2.38
1.20 : 1.18
Favourite
36%
Tecnico Universitario
Over 2.5 goals
42%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.683.032.732.211.621.861.83Bet
22Bet2.333.233.032.211.671.871.87Bet
BC.Game2.283.103.102.161.631.861.80Bet
Betwinner2.333.233.032.211.671.871.87Bet
Melbet2.333.233.032.171.641.871.87Bet
Stake2.303.152.952.091.631.851.78Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Tecnico Universitario to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Tecnico Universitario price at 2.68, Betwinner lead the draw at 3.23 and BC.Game have Mushuc Runa SC longest at 3.10.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 99.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.21 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.67 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (22Bet) and no 1.87 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

70%

Our prediction

Tecnico Universitario or Mushuc Runa SC (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.20 : 1.18-5.2% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.67
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tecnico Universitario, full-time Tecnico Universitario
21% chance4.74fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair

Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction

Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction for Monday, 26 October 2026: 36% home, 30% draw and 35% away in the Liga Pro. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Expected goals are 1.20 for Tecnico Universitario and 1.18 for Mushuc Runa SC, a total of 2.38, which puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 50%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Tecnico Universitario or Mushuc Runa SC (no draw) is the main selection, rated 70%. The best price in our comparison is 1.35 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 4 matches Tecnico Universitario stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Mushuc Runa SC show 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 4.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC

Under 2.5 goals is rated 58% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 42%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.67 at Betwinner.

The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Tecnico Universitario scoring in 70% of runs and Mushuc Runa SC in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for Tecnico Universitario and 30% for Mushuc Runa SC.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.1%, then 1-0 at 11.1% and 0-1 at 10.9%.

With the top scoreline at 13.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tecnico Universitario, full-time Tecnico Universitario leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 30% / 35% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Tecnico Universitario to win36%2.68
Draw30%3.23
Mushuc Runa SC to win35%3.10
Tecnico Universitario, draw no bet51%fair 1.97
Mushuc Runa SC, draw no bet49%fair 2.03

Double chance

Tecnico Universitario or draw65%1.42
Mushuc Runa SC or draw64%1.56
Tecnico Universitario or Mushuc Runa SC (no draw)70%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.21
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.75
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Under 2.5 goals58%1.67
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28

BTTS

Both teams to score50%1.87
Not both teams to score51%1.87

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.45
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37

Team goals

Tecnico Universitario to score70%fair 1.43
Mushuc Runa SC to score69%fair 1.44
Tecnico Universitario clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Mushuc Runa SC clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Tecnico Universitario to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Mushuc Runa SC to win to nil28%fair 3.61

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-011.1%
0-110.9%
0-09.3%
2-17.9%
1-27.7%

Half-time / full-time

Tecnico Universitario / Tecnico Universitario21.1%
Mushuc Runa SC / Mushuc Runa SC20.5%
Draw / Draw17.9%
Draw / Tecnico Universitario13.6%
Draw / Mushuc Runa SC13.3%

Questions about Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC

Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC?

The model gives Tecnico Universitario the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Tecnico Universitario find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Mushuc Runa SC in 69%.

When is Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC and where is the result shown?

Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC starts at 20:30 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Tecnico Universitario v Mushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario or Mushuc Runa SC (no draw), 70%
1.35Bet