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Live 22 UTC
Liga Pro Championship Group - 4 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
LDU de QuitoHomeWDLDL
1:2Half-time 0:1
MacaraAwayWWWWW
592417
LDU de Quito winDrawMacara win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.55
1.73 : 0.82
Favourite
59%
LDU de Quito
Over 2.5 goals
46%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for LDU de Quito vs Macara

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.544.035.851.871.871.911.78Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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LDU de Quito to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best LDU de Quito price at 1.54, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.03 and 1xBet have Macara longest at 5.85.

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.87 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.87 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.91 (1xBet) and no 1.78 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

59%

Our prediction

LDU de Quito to win
StrongExpected goals 1.73 : 0.82-9% against the best price
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw
83% chance1.11
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.87
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time LDU de Quito, full-time LDU de Quito
37% chance2.70fair

LDU de Quito vs Macara prediction

LDU de Quito vs Macara prediction, who wins and at what price

The LDU de Quito vs Macara prediction leans to LDU de Quito: 59% against 17% for Macara, with 24% left for the draw, in the Liga Pro on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

LDU de Quito are expected to score 1.73 and Macara 0.82, so the total line is 2.55 goals; over 2.5 lands at 46% and BTTS at 47%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is lDU de Quito to win at 59%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.54. That price implies 65%, 6 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on LDU de Quito vs Macara.

LDU de Quito or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.11.

Form check: LDU de Quito have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 8 conceded, Macara 5 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 2.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for LDU de Quito vs Macara

On the goal lines LDU de Quito vs Macara reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.87.

The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from LDU de Quito scoring in 82% of runs and Macara in 56%; clean sheets come at 44% for LDU de Quito and 18% for Macara.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.5%, then 2-0 at 11.7% and 1-1 at 11.1%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time LDU de Quito, full-time LDU de Quito leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for LDU de Quito vs Macara

The grid built from 1.73 and 0.82 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

LDU de Quito to win59%1.54
Draw24%4.03
Macara to win17%5.85
LDU de Quito, draw no bet78%fair 1.29
Macara, draw no bet22%fair 4.50

Double chance

LDU de Quito or draw83%1.11
Macara or draw41%2.39
LDU de Quito or Macara (no draw)76%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%1.87
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.95
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Under 2.5 goals54%1.87
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34

BTTS

Both teams to score47%1.91
Not both teams to score53%1.78

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.14
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33

Team goals

LDU de Quito to score82%fair 1.22
Macara to score56%fair 1.79
LDU de Quito clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Macara clean sheet18%fair 5.65
LDU de Quito to win to nil41%fair 2.47
Macara to win to nil16%fair 6.45

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-013.5%
2-011.7%
1-111.1%
2-19.6%
0-07.8%
3-06.7%

Half-time / full-time

LDU de Quito / LDU de Quito37.1%
Draw / LDU de Quito19.4%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Macara / Macara9.4%
Draw / Macara7.1%

Questions about LDU de Quito vs Macara

LDU de Quito or Macara: which side does the model back?

The model gives LDU de Quito the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

LDU de Quito vs Macara correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.

LDU de Quito vs Macara both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. LDU de Quito find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Macara in 56%.

When do LDU de Quito play Macara?

LDU de Quito vs Macara starts at 21:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, LDU de Quito v MacaraLDU de Quito to win, 59%
1.54Bet