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Live 35 UTC
Liga Pro Championship Group - 4 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
AucasHomeLLDLW
0:4Half-time 0:1
Barcelona SCAwayLDWL
492823
Aucas winDrawBarcelona SC win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.31
1.43 : 0.88
Favourite
49%
Aucas
Over 2.5 goals
40%
model chance
Both teams to score
45%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Aucas vs Barcelona SC betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.863.364.282.141.661.931.76Bet
22Bet1.863.414.212.221.622.021.74Bet
BC.Game1.823.254.402.161.631.981.70Bet
Betwinner1.863.414.212.221.622.021.74Bet
Melbet1.863.414.212.221.622.021.74Bet
Stake1.893.253.952.101.631.941.71Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Aucas to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Aucas vs Barcelona SC prediction: Aucas 1.89 (Stake), draw 3.41 (Betwinner), Barcelona SC 4.40 (BC.Game).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.22 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.66 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (Betwinner) and no 1.76 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

77%

Our prediction

Aucas or draw
StrongExpected goals 1.43 : 0.88-7.1% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.66
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.49fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.04fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Aucas, full-time Aucas
30% chance3.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.55fair

Aucas v Barcelona SC head to head

0Aucas wins
1Draw
0Barcelona SC wins
  • 7 Sep 26Aucas1:1Barcelona SC

1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Aucas scored 1, Barcelona SC scored 1.

Aucas vs Barcelona SC prediction

Aucas vs Barcelona SC prediction, who wins and at what price

Aucas are a narrow favourite in the Aucas vs Barcelona SC prediction, rated 49% to win this Liga Pro match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Barcelona SC sit at 23% and the draw at 28%.

Expected goals are 1.43 for Aucas and 0.88 for Barcelona SC, a total of 2.31, which puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 45%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Aucas vs Barcelona SC is aucas or draw, a 77% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.20 at 22Bet, which implies 83%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Aucas stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Barcelona SC show 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 4.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Aucas vs Barcelona SC

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 67%, over 2.5 at 40%, over 3.5 at 20%; under 2.5 is 60% and under 3.5 is 80%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; 1xBet pay 1.66.

BTTS yes stands at 45%. Aucas score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Barcelona SC; Barcelona SC score in 59% while Aucas shut them out 42% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14.2%, followed by 1-1 (12.5%) and 2-0 (10.1%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Aucas, full-time Aucas leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Aucas vs Barcelona SC

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Aucas vs Barcelona SC, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Aucas to win49%1.89
Draw28%3.41
Barcelona SC to win23%4.40
Aucas, draw no bet69%fair 1.46
Barcelona SC, draw no bet32%fair 3.17

Double chance

Aucas or draw77%1.20
Barcelona SC or draw51%1.88
Aucas or Barcelona SC (no draw)72%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%2.22
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 4.93
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.76
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.04
Under 2.5 goals60%1.66
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25

BTTS

Both teams to score45%2.02
Not both teams to score55%1.76

Halves

First-half goal65%fair 1.55
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.58
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39

Team goals

Aucas to score76%fair 1.31
Barcelona SC to score59%fair 1.71
Aucas clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Barcelona SC clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Aucas to win to nil38%fair 2.62
Barcelona SC to win to nil21%fair 4.81

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-014.2%
1-112.5%
2-010.1%
0-09.9%
2-18.9%
0-18.7%

Half-time / full-time

Aucas / Aucas30%
Draw / Draw17.9%
Draw / Aucas17.7%
Barcelona SC / Barcelona SC12.7%
Draw / Barcelona SC9.3%

Questions about Aucas vs Barcelona SC

Who is favourite in Aucas vs Barcelona SC?

The model gives Aucas the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Aucas vs Barcelona SC?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 40%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Aucas vs Barcelona SC both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Aucas find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Barcelona SC in 59%.

When is Aucas vs Barcelona SC and where is the result shown?

Aucas vs Barcelona SC starts at 21:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Aucas v Barcelona SCAucas or draw, 77%
1.20Bet