Liga Pro
EmelecHomeLLWLL
0:2Half-time 0:1
Leones del NorteAwayDLLWW522622
Emelec winDrawLeones del Norte win
EmelecHomeLLWLLLeones del NorteAwayDLLWW- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.52 1.57 : 0.95
- Favourite
- 52% Emelec
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Emelec vs Leones del Norte odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.58 | 4.39 | 1.98 | 1.77 | 1.84 | 1.85 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.78 | 3.56 | 4.41 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Emelec to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Emelec vs Leones del Norte are 1.78 for Emelec at 1xBet, 3.58 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.41 for Leones del Norte at 22Bet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.01 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.80 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (22Bet) and no 1.87 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
52%
Our prediction
Emelec to win
Double chanceEmelec or draw
78% chance1.19
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.80
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Emelec, full-time Emelec
32% chance3.15fair
Emelec v Leones del Norte head to head
1Emelec wins
0Draws
0Leones del Norte wins
- 18 Oct 26Leones del Norte1:3Emelec
1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Emelec scored 3, Leones del Norte scored 1.
Emelec vs Leones del Norte prediction
Our Emelec vs Leones del Norte prediction and pick
Emelec are a narrow favourite in the Emelec vs Leones del Norte prediction, rated 52% to win this Liga Pro match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Leones del Norte sit at 22% and the draw at 26%.
The goal expectancy is 2.52 in total, split 1.57 to Emelec and 0.95 to Leones del Norte. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 49%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is emelec to win at 52%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.78. That price implies 56%, 4 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Emelec or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.19.
Form check: Emelec have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 9 conceded, Leones del Norte 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 8.
Emelec vs Leones del Norte goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Emelec vs Leones del Norte reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.80 at 22Bet.
BTTS yes stands at 49%. Emelec score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Leones del Norte; Leones del Norte score in 61% while Emelec shut them out 39% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Emelec vs Leones del Norte: 1-0 (12.6%), 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (9.9%).
With the top scoreline at 12.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Emelec vs Leones del Norte; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Emelec, full-time Emelec is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
Every market rated for Emelec vs Leones del Norte
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Emelec vs Leones del Norte, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Emelec to win52%1.78
Draw26%3.58
Leones del Norte to win22%4.41
Emelec, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
Leones del Norte, draw no bet30%fair 3.32
Double chance
Emelec or draw78%1.19
Leones del Norte or draw48%1.97
Emelec or Leones del Norte (no draw)74%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.01
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.53
Under 2.5 goals54%1.80
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.87
Not both teams to score51%1.87
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.19
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Emelec to score79%fair 1.26
Leones del Norte to score61%fair 1.63
Emelec clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Leones del Norte clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Emelec to win to nil36%fair 2.81
Leones del Norte to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.6%
1-112%
2-09.9%
2-19.4%
0-08%
0-17.6%
Half-time / full-time
Emelec / Emelec31.7%
Draw / Emelec17.7%
Draw / Draw16%
Leones del Norte / Leones del Norte12.6%
Draw / Leones del Norte8.9%
Questions about Emelec vs Leones del Norte
Who is favourite in Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
The model gives Emelec the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Emelec vs Leones del Norte correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Emelec find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Leones del Norte in 61%.
When is Emelec vs Leones del Norte and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.