Liga Pro
Guayaquil City FCHomeDWLWD
0:0Half-time 0:0
LibertadAwayWWWLD482725
Guayaquil City FC winDrawLibertad win
Guayaquil City FCHomeDWLWDLibertadAwayWWWLD- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.67 1.58 : 1.09
- Favourite
- 48% Guayaquil City FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.38 | 3.88 | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.73 | 1.97 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.11 | 3.31 | 3.41 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.65 | 1.89 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.01 | 3.35 | 3.66 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.72 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.11 | 3.31 | 3.41 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.08 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.70 | 1.95 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Guayaquil City FC to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Guayaquil City FC price at 2.11, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.38 and 1xBet have Libertad longest at 3.88.
The best-price payout across the three results is 97.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.85 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (BC.Game) and no 2.02 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
Guayaquil City FC or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.85
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Guayaquil City FC, full-time Guayaquil City FC
30% chance3.37fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fairLost
Guayaquil City FC v Libertad head to head
0Guayaquil City FC wins
0Draws
1Libertad wins
- 17 Oct 26Libertad4:0Guayaquil City FC
1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Guayaquil City FC scored 0, Libertad scored 4.
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad odds movement
Guayaquil City FC win2.11unchanged
Draw3.38-0.12
Libertad win3.88-0.07
Over 2.5 goals1.97unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.85-0.05
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad prediction
Our Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad prediction and pick
Guayaquil City FC host Libertad on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Liga Pro, and the model has Guayaquil City FC at 48%, the draw at 27% and Libertad at 25%: that is the Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad prediction in one line.
Guayaquil City FC are expected to score 1.58 and Libertad 1.09, so the total line is 2.67 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad is guayaquil City FC or draw, a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at Melbet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Guayaquil City FC stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Libertad show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad
On the goal lines Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad reads 75% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; Betwinner pay 1.85.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. Guayaquil City FC score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Libertad; Libertad score in 66% while Guayaquil City FC shut them out 34% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%, followed by 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
With the top scoreline at 11.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Guayaquil City FC, full-time Guayaquil City FC leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Guayaquil City FC to win48%2.11
Draw27%3.38
Libertad to win25%3.88
Guayaquil City FC, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
Libertad, draw no bet34%fair 2.92
Double chance
Guayaquil City FC or draw75%1.29
Libertad or draw52%1.81
Guayaquil City FC or Libertad (no draw)73%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.97
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.52
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.94
Under 2.5 goals51%1.85
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.74
Not both teams to score46%2.02
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.96
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Guayaquil City FC to score79%fair 1.26
Libertad to score66%fair 1.51
Guayaquil City FC clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Libertad clean sheet21%fair 4.85
Guayaquil City FC to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Libertad to win to nil19%fair 5.29
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
1-010.9%
2-19.4%
2-08.6%
0-17.5%
0-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
Guayaquil City FC / Guayaquil City FC29.7%
Draw / Guayaquil City FC16.4%
Draw / Draw15.2%
Libertad / Libertad14.8%
Draw / Libertad9.8%
Questions about Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad
Guayaquil City FC or Libertad: which side does the model back?
The model gives Guayaquil City FC the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Guayaquil City FC find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Libertad in 66%.
When do Guayaquil City FC play Libertad?
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.