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Live 21 UTC
Liga Pro Placement Group - 4 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
EmelecHomeLLWLL
0:1Half-time 0:1
Guayaquil City FCAwayDWLWD
512722
Emelec winDrawGuayaquil City FC win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.41
1.51 : 0.90
Favourite
51%
Emelec
Over 2.5 goals
43%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.833.414.342.141.661.951.75Bet
22Bet1.683.635.042.211.672.111.68Bet
BC.Game1.643.555.202.061.692.001.69Bet
Betwinner1.693.604.972.081.701.981.72Bet
Melbet1.683.635.042.211.672.111.68Bet
Stake1.673.554.702.041.672.001.66Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Emelec to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC prediction: Emelec 1.83 (1xBet), draw 3.63 (22Bet), Guayaquil City FC 5.20 (BC.Game).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.21 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.70 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (Melbet) and no 1.75 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

51%

Our prediction

Emelec to win
LeanExpected goals 1.51 : 0.90-6.5% against the best price
Double chanceEmelec or draw
78% chance1.19
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.70
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.44fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Emelec, full-time Emelec
31% chance3.19fair

Emelec v Guayaquil City FC head to head

0Emelec wins
0Draws
1Guayaquil City FC wins
  • 10 Oct 26Guayaquil City FC3:2Emelec

1 meeting since coverage began, 5 goals in total: Emelec scored 2, Guayaquil City FC scored 3.

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC prediction

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC prediction and best bet

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC prediction for the Liga Pro on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Emelec a narrow favourite at 51%, with the draw at 27% and Guayaquil City FC at 22%.

Emelec are expected to score 1.51 and Guayaquil City FC 0.90, so the total line is 2.41 goals; over 2.5 lands at 43% and BTTS at 47%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Emelec to win is the main selection, rated 51%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.83. That price implies 55%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC.

For a safer line, emelec or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.19.

Form check: Emelec have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 9 conceded, Guayaquil City FC 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 7.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC

Under 2.5 goals is rated 57% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 43%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.70 at Betwinner.

BTTS yes stands at 47%. Emelec score in 78% of simulations against a 22% clean sheet for Guayaquil City FC; Guayaquil City FC score in 59% while Emelec shut them out 41% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 13.6%, followed by 1-1 (12.2%) and 2-0 (10.2%).

With the top scoreline at 13.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Emelec, full-time Emelec leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC

The grid built from 1.51 and 0.90 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Emelec to win51%1.83
Draw27%3.63
Guayaquil City FC to win22%5.20
Emelec, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
Guayaquil City FC, draw no bet30%fair 3.34

Double chance

Emelec or draw78%1.19
Guayaquil City FC or draw49%2.11
Emelec or Guayaquil City FC (no draw)73%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.21
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.31
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Under 2.5 goals57%1.70
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.29

BTTS

Both teams to score47%2.11
Not both teams to score53%1.75

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.51
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.39
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36

Team goals

Emelec to score78%fair 1.28
Guayaquil City FC to score59%fair 1.69
Emelec clean sheet41%fair 2.46
Guayaquil City FC clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Emelec to win to nil37%fair 2.67
Guayaquil City FC to win to nil20%fair 4.98

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-013.6%
1-112.2%
2-010.2%
2-19.2%
0-09%
0-18.1%

Half-time / full-time

Emelec / Emelec31.3%
Draw / Emelec17.9%
Draw / Draw16.9%
Guayaquil City FC / Guayaquil City FC12.3%
Draw / Guayaquil City FC8.9%

Questions about Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC

Emelec or Guayaquil City FC: which side does the model back?

The model gives Emelec the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 27%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Emelec find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Guayaquil City FC in 59%.

What time does Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC kick off?

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC starts at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Emelec v Guayaquil City FCEmelec to win, 51%
1.83Bet