Copa Ecuador
Universidad CatolicaHomeLDDDL
2:2Half-time 1:0
LDU de QuitoAwayWDLDL232948
Universidad Catolica winDrawLDU de Quito win
Universidad CatolicaHomeLDDDLLDU de QuitoAwayWDLDL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.29 0.89 : 1.40
- Favourite
- 48% LDU de Quito
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.92 | 3.08 | 1.90 | 2.24 | 1.52 | 2.00 | 1.71 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 1.76 | 1.91 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
LDU de Quito to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito are 3.92 for Universidad Catolica at 1xBet, 3.30 for the draw at BC.Game and 2.30 for LDU de Quito at BC.Game.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 100.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.24 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.74 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.00 (1xBet) and no 1.91 (BC.Game).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
77%
Our prediction
LDU de Quito or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.74
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.91
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.04fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time LDU de Quito, full-time LDU de Quito
29% chance3.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.56fair
Universidad Catolica v LDU de Quito head to head
0Universidad Catolica wins
0Draws
1LDU de Quito wins
- 20 Sep 26LDU de Quito2:1Universidad Catolica
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Universidad Catolica scored 1, LDU de Quito scored 2.
Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito prediction
Our Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito prediction and pick
The Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito prediction leans to LDU de Quito: 48% against 23% for Universidad Catolica, with 29% left for the draw, in the Copa Ecuador on Friday, 30 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.29 in total, split 0.89 to Universidad Catolica and 1.40 to LDU de Quito. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 40% and both teams to score 46%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito is lDU de Quito or draw, a 77% chance. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.36. That price implies 74%, 3 points under the model figure.
That gap is worth 4.6% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
Universidad Catolica average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, LDU de Quito 1.2 and 1.6 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito
Under 2.5 goals is rated 60% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 40%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.74 at BC.Game.
Both teams to score is 46%: Universidad Catolica find the net in 59% of simulated matches and LDU de Quito in 75%. Universidad Catolica keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and LDU de Quito 41%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 14.2%, followed by 1-1 (12.6%) and 0-0 (10.1%).
With the top scoreline at 14.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time LDU de Quito, full-time LDU de Quito is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 64%.
Every market rated for Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito
The grid built from 0.89 and 1.40 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win23%3.92
Draw29%3.30
LDU de Quito to win48%2.30
Universidad Catolica, draw no bet32%fair 3.09
LDU de Quito, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw52%1.72
LDU de Quito or draw77%1.36
Universidad Catolica or LDU de Quito (no draw)71%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals40%2.24
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.05
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Under 2.5 goals60%1.74
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25
BTTS
Both teams to score46%2.00
Not both teams to score54%1.91
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.64
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40
Team goals
Universidad Catolica to score59%fair 1.70
LDU de Quito to score75%fair 1.33
Universidad Catolica clean sheet25%fair 4.05
LDU de Quito clean sheet41%fair 2.43
Universidad Catolica to win to nil21%fair 4.69
LDU de Quito to win to nil38%fair 2.65
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-114.2%
1-112.6%
0-010.1%
0-29.9%
1-09%
1-28.8%
Half-time / full-time
LDU de Quito / LDU de Quito29.2%
Draw / Draw18.2%
Draw / LDU de Quito17.5%
Universidad Catolica / Universidad Catolica13.1%
Draw / Universidad Catolica9.6%
Questions about Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?
The model gives LDU de Quito the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 40% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Universidad Catolica find the net in 59% of simulated matches and LDU de Quito in 75%.
When do Universidad Catolica play LDU de Quito?
Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito starts at 00:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.