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Liga Pro Championship Group - 3 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
AucasHomeLLDLW
1:1Half-time 1:1
LDU de QuitoAwayWDLDL
263143
Aucas winDrawLDU de Quito win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.26
0.96 : 1.30
Favourite
43%
LDU de Quito
Over 2.5 goals
39%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Aucas vs LDU de Quito betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.473.022.222.291.581.931.76Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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LDU de Quito to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Aucas price at 3.47, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.02 and 1xBet have LDU de Quito longest at 2.22.

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.29 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.58 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (1xBet) and no 1.76 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

LDU de Quito or draw
LeanExpected goals 0.96 : 1.30-5.4% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.58
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.52fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time LDU de Quito, full-time LDU de Quito
26% chance3.83fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.57fair

Aucas vs LDU de Quito prediction

Our Aucas vs LDU de Quito prediction and pick

The Aucas vs LDU de Quito prediction leans to LDU de Quito: 43% against 26% for Aucas, with 31% left for the draw, in the Liga Pro on Saturday, 17 October 2026.

Aucas are expected to score 0.96 and LDU de Quito 1.30, so the total line is 2.26 goals; over 2.5 lands at 39% and BTTS at 47%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Aucas vs LDU de Quito is lDU de Quito or draw, a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Aucas vs LDU de Quito.

The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Aucas average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, LDU de Quito 1.2 and 1.6 across 5.

A low-scoring Aucas vs LDU de Quito? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Aucas vs LDU de Quito reads 66% for over 1.5, 39% for over 2.5 and 19% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 61%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.58 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from Aucas scoring in 62% of runs and LDU de Quito in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for Aucas and 38% for LDU de Quito.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 13.6%, then 1-1 at 13% and 0-0 at 10.4%.

With the top scoreline at 13.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Aucas vs LDU de Quito; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time LDU de Quito, full-time LDU de Quito leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Aucas vs LDU de Quito

The grid built from 0.96 and 1.30 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Aucas to win26%3.47
Draw31%3.02
LDU de Quito to win43%2.22
Aucas, draw no bet38%fair 2.64
LDU de Quito, draw no bet62%fair 1.61

Double chance

Aucas or draw57%1.61
LDU de Quito or draw74%1.28
Aucas or LDU de Quito (no draw)69%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Over 2.5 goals39%2.29
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.66
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.94
Under 2.5 goals61%1.58
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.24

BTTS

Both teams to score47%1.93
Not both teams to score53%1.76

Halves

First-half goal64%fair 1.57
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.70
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41

Team goals

Aucas to score62%fair 1.62
LDU de Quito to score73%fair 1.38
Aucas clean sheet27%fair 3.66
LDU de Quito clean sheet38%fair 2.61
Aucas to win to nil24%fair 4.17
LDU de Quito to win to nil35%fair 2.84

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-113.6%
1-113%
0-010.4%
1-010%
0-28.8%
1-28.5%

Half-time / full-time

LDU de Quito / LDU de Quito26.1%
Draw / Draw18.7%
Draw / LDU de Quito16.3%
Aucas / Aucas15.3%
Draw / Aucas10.9%

Questions about Aucas vs LDU de Quito

Who will win Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

The model gives LDU de Quito the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 39% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Aucas find the net in 62% of simulated matches and LDU de Quito in 73%.

What time does Aucas vs LDU de Quito kick off?

Kick-off is 21:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Aucas v LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito or draw, 74%
1.28Bet