Liga Pro
Independiente del ValleHomeWLDWW
2:0Half-time 0:0
LDU de QuitoAwayWDLDL532522
Independiente del Valle winDrawLDU de Quito win
Independiente del ValleHomeWLDWWLDU de QuitoAwayWDLDL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.78 1.73 : 1.05
- Favourite
- 53% Independiente del Valle
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.64 | 3.92 | 1.79 | 1.96 | 1.68 | 2.04 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.90 | 3.41 | 4.00 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.85 | 1.81 | 1.91 | 1.70 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.90 | 3.41 | 4.00 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.88 | 3.54 | 3.95 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.89 | 3.45 | 3.70 | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.67 | 2.00 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Independiente del Valle to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito prediction: Independiente del Valle 1.90 (22Bet), draw 3.64 (1xBet), LDU de Quito 4.00 (22Bet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.96 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Melbet) and no 2.11 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
53%
Our prediction
Independiente del Valle to win
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.31fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Independiente del Valle, full-time Independiente del Valle
33% chance3.01fairLost
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito odds movement
Independiente del Valle win1.90unchanged
Draw3.64-0.11
LDU de Quito win4.00-0.50
Over 2.5 goals1.89unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.96-0.05
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito prediction
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito prediction and best bet
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito prediction for the Liga Pro on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Independiente del Valle a narrow favourite at 53%, with the draw at 25% and LDU de Quito at 22%.
The goal expectancy is 2.78 in total, split 1.73 to Independiente del Valle and 1.05 to LDU de Quito. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito is independiente del Valle to win, a 53% chance. At 1.90 with 22Bet the market prices it at 53%, against 53% from the model.
Independiente del Valle or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.23.
Form check: Independiente del Valle have won 3 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 2 conceded, LDU de Quito 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 8.
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 70%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.89 at Betwinner.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Independiente del Valle scoring in 82% of runs and LDU de Quito in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Independiente del Valle and 18% for LDU de Quito.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.3%, then 1-0 at 10.7% and 2-1 at 9.7%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Independiente del Valle, full-time Independiente del Valle is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market rated for Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win53%1.90
Draw25%3.64
LDU de Quito to win22%4.00
Independiente del Valle, draw no bet71%fair 1.42
LDU de Quito, draw no bet30%fair 3.39
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw78%1.23
LDU de Quito or draw47%1.89
Independiente del Valle or LDU de Quito (no draw)75%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.89
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.29
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.71
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.26
Under 2.5 goals48%1.96
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.44
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.74
Not both teams to score46%2.11
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.81
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Independiente del Valle to score82%fair 1.22
LDU de Quito to score65%fair 1.54
Independiente del Valle clean sheet35%fair 2.86
LDU de Quito clean sheet18%fair 5.65
Independiente del Valle to win to nil32%fair 3.11
LDU de Quito to win to nil16%fair 6.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.3%
1-010.7%
2-19.7%
2-09.3%
0-16.5%
0-06.2%
Half-time / full-time
Independiente del Valle / Independiente del Valle33.2%
Draw / Independiente del Valle17.3%
Draw / Draw14.2%
LDU de Quito / LDU de Quito12.8%
Draw / LDU de Quito8.6%
Questions about Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito
Who is favourite in Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito?
The model gives Independiente del Valle the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Independiente del Valle find the net in 82% of simulated matches and LDU de Quito in 65%.
When do Independiente del Valle play LDU de Quito?
Kick-off is 18:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.