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Live 11 UTC
HNL Round 10 Friday, 16 October 2026 FT
RudesHomeDWLWW
1:2Half-time 0:1
HNK RijekaAwayLWWLD
111871
Rudes winDrawHNK Rijeka win
Kick-off
Fri 16 Oct
Expected goals
3.15
0.80 : 2.35
Favourite
72%
HNK Rijeka
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet7.374.801.361.542.191.821.88Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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HNK Rijeka to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Rudes price at 7.37, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.80 and 1xBet have HNK Rijeka longest at 1.36.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.54 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.19 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (1xBet) and no 1.88 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

72%

Our prediction

HNK Rijeka to win
BankerExpected goals 0.80 : 2.35-2.2% against the best price
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw
90% chance1.06
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.54
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time HNK Rijeka, full-time HNK Rijeka
49% chance2.05fair

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka prediction

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka prediction and best bet

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka prediction for the HNL on Friday, 16 October 2026: the model makes HNK Rijeka the clear favourite at 72%, with the draw at 18% and Rudes at 11%.

The goal expectancy is 3.15 in total, split 0.80 to Rudes and 2.35 to HNK Rijeka. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 51%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

HNK Rijeka to win is the main selection, rated 72%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.36. That price implies 74%, 2 points over the model figure.

HNK Rijeka or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance, priced 1.06.

With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Rudes average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, HNK Rijeka 1.8 and 1.8 across 5.

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 60%, over 3.5 at 39%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 61%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.54 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 51%. Rudes score in 55% of simulations against a 45% clean sheet for HNK Rijeka; HNK Rijeka score in 91% while Rudes shut them out 10% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 0-2 at 11.8%, followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time HNK Rijeka, full-time HNK Rijeka is the top combination at 49%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

All markets, Rudes vs HNK Rijeka

The grid built from 0.80 and 2.35 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Rudes to win11%7.37
Draw18%4.80
HNK Rijeka to win72%1.36
Rudes, draw no bet13%fair 7.87
HNK Rijeka, draw no bet87%fair 1.15

Double chance

Rudes or draw28%2.91
HNK Rijeka or draw90%1.06
Rudes or HNK Rijeka (no draw)82%1.15

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.54
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.59
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 2.5 goals40%2.19
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.63

BTTS

Both teams to score51%1.82
Not both teams to score49%1.88

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Rudes to score55%fair 1.81
HNK Rijeka to score91%fair 1.10
Rudes clean sheet10%fair 10.53
HNK Rijeka clean sheet45%fair 2.23
Rudes to win to nil9%fair 11.36
HNK Rijeka to win to nil41%fair 2.42

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

0-211.8%
0-110.1%
1-29.5%
0-39.3%
1-18.1%
1-37.4%

Half-time / full-time

HNK Rijeka / HNK Rijeka48.8%
Draw / HNK Rijeka20%
Draw / Draw10.1%
Rudes / Rudes5.9%
Draw / Rudes4.3%

Questions about Rudes vs HNK Rijeka

Who is favourite in Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

The model gives HNK Rijeka the best chance at 72%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 60% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Rudes vs HNK Rijeka?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Rudes find the net in 55% of simulated matches and HNK Rijeka in 91%.

When is Rudes vs HNK Rijeka and where is the result shown?

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka starts at 16:00 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Rudes v HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka to win, 72%
1.36Bet