HNL
HNK GoricaHomeWLDDL
0:0Half-time 0:0
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebAwayLWDDL392932
HNK Gorica winDrawNK Lokomotiva Zagreb win
HNK GoricaHomeWLDDLNK Lokomotiva ZagrebAwayLWDDL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.59 1.36 : 1.23
- Favourite
- 39% HNK Gorica
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.20 | 2.78 | 1.87 | 1.86 | 1.67 | 2.08 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
HNK Gorica to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction: HNK Gorica 2.42 (1xBet), draw 3.20 (1xBet), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2.78 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.87 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.86 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (1xBet) and no 2.08 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
71%
Our prediction
HNK Gorica or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.86
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time HNK Gorica, full-time HNK Gorica
24% chance4.26fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction and best bet
The HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. HNL on Saturday, 24 October 2026 gives HNK Gorica a 39% chance, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 33% and the draw 29%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.36 for HNK Gorica and 1.23 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, a total of 2.59, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 54%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
HNK Gorica or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
HNK Gorica average 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.8 and 1.0 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 74%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.86.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. HNK Gorica score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score in 71% while HNK Gorica shut them out 29% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%, followed by 1-0 (10.2%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
With the top scoreline at 12.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time HNK Gorica, full-time HNK Gorica is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
All markets, HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
The grid built from 1.36 and 1.23 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
HNK Gorica to win39%2.42
Draw29%3.20
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win33%2.78
HNK Gorica, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, draw no bet46%fair 2.20
Double chance
HNK Gorica or draw68%1.38
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw61%1.49
HNK Gorica or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (no draw)71%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%1.87
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 2.5 goals53%1.86
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.67
Not both teams to score46%2.08
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.08
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
HNK Gorica to score74%fair 1.35
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to score71%fair 1.41
HNK Gorica clean sheet29%fair 3.42
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb clean sheet26%fair 3.89
HNK Gorica to win to nil27%fair 3.72
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-010.2%
0-19.2%
2-18.5%
1-27.7%
0-07.5%
Half-time / full-time
HNK Gorica / HNK Gorica23.5%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb / NK Lokomotiva Zagreb19.5%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Draw / HNK Gorica14.2%
Draw / NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12.3%
Questions about HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The model gives HNK Gorica the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. HNK Gorica find the net in 74% of simulated matches and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in 71%.
What time does HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb kick off?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.