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Live 23 UTC
Primera A Clausura - 1 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
ChicoHomeLLWDL
1:4Half-time 0:1
Atletico NacionalAwayWLWWW
122167
Chico winDrawAtletico Nacional win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.83
0.77 : 2.06
Favourite
67%
Atletico Nacional
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Chico vs Atletico Nacional

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet7.044.201.431.771.971.931.78Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Atletico Nacional to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Chico vs Atletico Nacional prediction: Chico 7.04 (1xBet), draw 4.20 (1xBet), Atletico Nacional 1.43 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.77 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.97 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (1xBet) and no 1.78 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

67%

Our prediction

Atletico Nacional to win
BankerExpected goals 0.77 : 2.06-3.8% against the best price
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw
88% chance1.07
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.77
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atletico Nacional, full-time Atletico Nacional
44% chance2.26fair

Chico vs Atletico Nacional prediction

Chico vs Atletico Nacional prediction, who wins and at what price

The Chico vs Atletico Nacional prediction leans to Atletico Nacional: 67% against 12% for Chico, with 21% left for the draw, in the Primera A on Saturday, 17 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.83 in total, split 0.77 to Chico and 2.06 to Atletico Nacional. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 48%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is atletico Nacional to win at 67%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.43. That price implies 70%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Chico vs Atletico Nacional.

For a safer line, atletico Nacional or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.07.

With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Form check: Chico have won 1 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 9 conceded, Atletico Nacional 4 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 3.

Chico vs Atletico Nacional goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.77 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 48%: Chico find the net in 54% of simulated matches and Atletico Nacional in 87%. Chico keep a clean sheet 13% of the time and Atletico Nacional 46%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Chico vs Atletico Nacional: 0-2 (12.5%), 0-1 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.6%).

With the top scoreline at 12.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Chico vs Atletico Nacional; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Atletico Nacional, full-time Atletico Nacional is the top combination at 44%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.

Every market rated for Chico vs Atletico Nacional

The grid built from 0.77 and 2.06 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Chico to win12%7.04
Draw21%4.20
Atletico Nacional to win67%1.43
Chico, draw no bet15%fair 6.62
Atletico Nacional, draw no bet85%fair 1.18

Double chance

Chico or draw33%2.63
Atletico Nacional or draw88%1.07
Chico or Atletico Nacional (no draw)79%1.19

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.77
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.37
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.42
Under 2.5 goals47%1.97
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.46

BTTS

Both teams to score48%1.93
Not both teams to score52%1.78

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.75
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

Chico to score54%fair 1.86
Atletico Nacional to score87%fair 1.15
Chico clean sheet13%fair 7.87
Atletico Nacional clean sheet46%fair 2.16
Chico to win to nil11%fair 9.09
Atletico Nacional to win to nil43%fair 2.35

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-212.5%
0-112.2%
1-29.6%
1-19.4%
0-38.6%
1-36.6%

Half-time / full-time

Atletico Nacional / Atletico Nacional44.3%
Draw / Atletico Nacional20.3%
Draw / Draw12.3%
Chico / Chico6.9%
Draw / Chico5.2%

Questions about Chico vs Atletico Nacional

Who will win Chico vs Atletico Nacional?

The model gives Atletico Nacional the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Chico vs Atletico Nacional?

0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Chico vs Atletico Nacional?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Chico find the net in 54% of simulated matches and Atletico Nacional in 87%.

When is Chico vs Atletico Nacional and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Chico v Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional to win, 67%
1.43Bet