ChicoHomeLLWDL
Atletico NacionalAwayWLWWW
ChicoHomeLLWDL
Atletico NacionalAwayWLWWW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.04 | 4.20 | 1.43 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 1.93 | 1.78 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Chico vs Atletico Nacional prediction: Chico 7.04 (1xBet), draw 4.20 (1xBet), Atletico Nacional 1.43 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.77 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.97 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (1xBet) and no 1.78 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
Our prediction
The Chico vs Atletico Nacional prediction leans to Atletico Nacional: 67% against 12% for Chico, with 21% left for the draw, in the Primera A on Saturday, 17 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.83 in total, split 0.77 to Chico and 2.06 to Atletico Nacional. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 48%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is atletico Nacional to win at 67%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.43. That price implies 70%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Chico vs Atletico Nacional.
For a safer line, atletico Nacional or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.07.
With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Chico have won 1 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 9 conceded, Atletico Nacional 4 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 3.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.77 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 48%: Chico find the net in 54% of simulated matches and Atletico Nacional in 87%. Chico keep a clean sheet 13% of the time and Atletico Nacional 46%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Chico vs Atletico Nacional: 0-2 (12.5%), 0-1 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.6%).
With the top scoreline at 12.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Chico vs Atletico Nacional; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Atletico Nacional, full-time Atletico Nacional is the top combination at 44%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
The grid built from 0.77 and 2.06 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Atletico Nacional the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Chico find the net in 54% of simulated matches and Atletico Nacional in 87%.
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.