Brazil Serie B
Sport RecifeHomeWDLWD
2:1Half-time 0:0
CriciumaAwayLWWLW332839
Sport Recife winDrawCriciuma win
Sport RecifeHomeWDLWDCriciumaAwayLWWLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.49 1.19 : 1.30
- Favourite
- 38% Criciuma
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Sport Recife vs Criciuma
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.83 | 3.24 | 2.40 | 1.98 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 1.97 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Criciuma to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sport Recife vs Criciuma are 2.83 for Sport Recife at 1xBet, 3.24 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.40 for Criciuma at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.98 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.76 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (1xBet) and no 1.97 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
Sport Recife or Criciuma (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Criciuma, full-time Criciuma
23% chance4.37fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.48fair
Sport Recife vs Criciuma prediction
Sport Recife vs Criciuma prediction, who wins and at what price
Sport Recife vs Criciuma prediction for the Brazil Serie B on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model calls it close, Sport Recife 33%, draw 28%, Criciuma 38%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Sport Recife are expected to score 1.19 and Criciuma 1.30, so the total line is 2.49 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Sport Recife vs Criciuma is sport Recife or Criciuma (no draw), a 72% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sport Recife vs Criciuma.
Form check: Sport Recife have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 6 conceded, Criciuma 3 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 3.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Sport Recife vs Criciuma
On the goal lines Sport Recife vs Criciuma reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 55%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.76 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 51%: Sport Recife find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Criciuma in 73%. Sport Recife keep a clean sheet 27% of the time and Criciuma 30%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%, followed by 0-1 (10.8%) and 1-0 (9.9%).
With the top scoreline at 12.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sport Recife vs Criciuma; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Criciuma, full-time Criciuma leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Sport Recife vs Criciuma
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 33% / 28% / 38% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sport Recife to win33%2.83
Draw28%3.24
Criciuma to win38%2.40
Sport Recife, draw no bet47%fair 2.15
Criciuma, draw no bet54%fair 1.87
Double chance
Sport Recife or draw62%1.51
Criciuma or draw67%1.38
Sport Recife or Criciuma (no draw)72%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%1.98
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.46
Under 2.5 goals55%1.76
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.75
Not both teams to score49%1.97
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.25
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Sport Recife to score70%fair 1.44
Criciuma to score73%fair 1.38
Sport Recife clean sheet27%fair 3.66
Criciuma clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Sport Recife to win to nil25%fair 3.98
Criciuma to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
0-110.8%
1-09.9%
1-28.3%
0-08.3%
2-17.6%
Half-time / full-time
Criciuma / Criciuma22.9%
Sport Recife / Sport Recife19.4%
Draw / Draw16.9%
Draw / Criciuma14.2%
Draw / Sport Recife12.6%
Questions about Sport Recife vs Criciuma
Who will win Sport Recife vs Criciuma?
The model gives Criciuma the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Sport Recife vs Criciuma?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Sport Recife vs Criciuma both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Sport Recife find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Criciuma in 73%.
What time does Sport Recife vs Criciuma kick off?
Sport Recife vs Criciuma starts at 00:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.