Brazil Serie B
Botafogo SPHomeWWWWD
1:1Half-time 1:1
Sport RecifeAwayWDLWD382933
Botafogo SP winDrawSport Recife win
Botafogo SPHomeWWWWDSport RecifeAwayWDLWD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.47 1.29 : 1.18
- Favourite
- 38% Botafogo SP
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.47 | 3.16 | 2.74 | 2.05 | 1.71 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.66 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.64 | 3.25 | 2.64 | 2.04 | 1.71 | 1.78 | 1.92 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.66 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.66 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.65 | 1.99 | 1.70 | 1.78 | 1.89 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Botafogo SP to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife prediction: Botafogo SP 2.66 (Melbet), draw 3.25 (BC.Game), Sport Recife 2.74 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.11 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.73 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (22Bet) and no 1.93 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
Botafogo SP or Sport Recife (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.73
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Botafogo SP, full-time Botafogo SP
23% chance4.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife prediction
Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife prediction for Saturday, 31 October 2026: 38% home, 29% draw and 33% away in the Brazil Serie B. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Botafogo SP are expected to score 1.29 and Sport Recife 1.18, so the total line is 2.47 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Botafogo SP or Sport Recife (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.33. That price implies 75%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife.
Over the last 5 matches Botafogo SP stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Sport Recife show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife
On the goal lines Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.73 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Botafogo SP scoring in 73% of runs and Sport Recife in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for Botafogo SP and 28% for Sport Recife.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.9%, then 1-0 at 10.9% and 0-1 at 10%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Botafogo SP, full-time Botafogo SP is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market for Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 38% / 29% / 33% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Botafogo SP to win38%2.66
Draw29%3.25
Sport Recife to win33%2.74
Botafogo SP, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
Sport Recife, draw no bet46%fair 2.16
Double chance
Botafogo SP or draw67%1.46
Sport Recife or draw62%1.47
Botafogo SP or Sport Recife (no draw)71%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%2.11
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals56%1.73
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.82
Not both teams to score49%1.93
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Botafogo SP to score73%fair 1.38
Sport Recife to score69%fair 1.44
Botafogo SP clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Sport Recife clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Botafogo SP to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Sport Recife to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
1-010.9%
0-110%
0-08.5%
2-18.3%
1-27.6%
Half-time / full-time
Botafogo SP / Botafogo SP22.8%
Sport Recife / Sport Recife19.4%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Draw / Botafogo SP14.2%
Draw / Sport Recife12.6%
Questions about Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife
Botafogo SP or Sport Recife: which side does the model back?
The model gives Botafogo SP the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Botafogo SP find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Sport Recife in 69%.
What time does Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife kick off?
Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife starts at 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.