Brazil Serie B
Atletico GoianienseHomeWLDDL
0:1Half-time 0:0
NovorizontinoAwayWWDWW362935
Atletico Goianiense winDrawNovorizontino win
Atletico GoianienseHomeWLDDLNovorizontinoAwayWWDWW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.60 1.32 : 1.28
- Favourite
- 36% Atletico Goianiense
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.16 | 2.70 | 1.90 | 1.83 | 1.69 | 2.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Atletico Goianiense to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Atletico Goianiense price at 2.50, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.16 and 1xBet have Novorizontino longest at 2.70.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.90 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.83 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (1xBet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
Atletico Goianiense or Novorizontino (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atletico Goianiense, full-time Atletico Goianiense
22% chance4.52fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino prediction
Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino prediction and best bet
Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino prediction for the Brazil Serie B on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model calls it close, Atletico Goianiense 36%, draw 29%, Novorizontino 35%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Atletico Goianiense are expected to score 1.32 and Novorizontino 1.28, so the total line is 2.60 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Atletico Goianiense or Novorizontino (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 71% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino.
Atletico Goianiense average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Novorizontino 2.4 and 0.8 across 5.
How many goals in Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 48%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 52% and under 3.5 is 74%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.83 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Atletico Goianiense scoring in 73% of runs and Novorizontino in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Atletico Goianiense and 27% for Novorizontino.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino: 1-1 (12.5%), 1-0 (9.8%) and 0-1 (9.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Atletico Goianiense, full-time Atletico Goianiense is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
Every market rated for Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino
The grid built from 1.32 and 1.28 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Atletico Goianiense to win36%2.50
Draw29%3.16
Novorizontino to win35%2.70
Atletico Goianiense, draw no bet51%fair 1.95
Novorizontino, draw no bet49%fair 2.05
Double chance
Atletico Goianiense or draw65%1.40
Novorizontino or draw64%1.46
Atletico Goianiense or Novorizontino (no draw)71%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.90
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.13
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 2.5 goals52%1.83
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.69
Not both teams to score46%2.05
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.06
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Atletico Goianiense to score73%fair 1.36
Novorizontino to score72%fair 1.39
Atletico Goianiense clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Novorizontino clean sheet27%fair 3.75
Atletico Goianiense to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Novorizontino to win to nil25%fair 4.07
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-09.8%
0-19.5%
2-18.3%
1-28%
0-07.4%
Half-time / full-time
Atletico Goianiense / Atletico Goianiense22.1%
Novorizontino / Novorizontino20.8%
Draw / Draw16.1%
Draw / Atletico Goianiense13.5%
Draw / Novorizontino13%
Questions about Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino
Who is favourite in Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?
The model gives Atletico Goianiense the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Atletico Goianiense find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Novorizontino in 72%.
When do Atletico Goianiense play Novorizontino?
Kick-off is 19:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.