Brazil Serie B
Ponte PretaHomeLLDDL
2:2Half-time 2:1
Fortaleza ECAwayDWDWD71677
Ponte Preta winDrawFortaleza EC win
Ponte PretaHomeLLDDLFortaleza ECAwayDWDWD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.85 0.54 : 2.31
- Favourite
- 77% Fortaleza EC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 38% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 12.00 | 5.65 | 1.22 | 1.68 | 2.09 | 2.35 | 1.53 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Fortaleza EC to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC prediction: Ponte Preta 12.00 (1xBet), draw 5.65 (1xBet), Fortaleza EC 1.22 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.68 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.09 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.35 (1xBet) and no 1.53 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
77%
Our prediction
Fortaleza EC to win
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw
93% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.68
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
15% chance6.49fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fortaleza EC, full-time Fortaleza EC
53% chance1.88fair
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC prediction
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC prediction, who wins and at what price
Ponte Preta host Fortaleza EC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the Brazil Serie B, and the model has Fortaleza EC at 77%, the draw at 16% and Ponte Preta at 7%: that is the Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC prediction in one line.
Ponte Preta are expected to score 0.54 and Fortaleza EC 2.31, so the total line is 2.85 goals; over 2.5 lands at 54% and BTTS at 38%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Fortaleza EC to win is the main selection, rated 77%. At 1.22 with 1xBet the market prices it at 82%, against 77% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Fortaleza EC or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 93% chance, priced -.
With the draw down at 16%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 5 matches Ponte Preta stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Fortaleza EC show 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC reads 78% for over 1.5, 54% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.68 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 38%, built from Ponte Preta scoring in 42% of runs and Fortaleza EC in 90%; clean sheets come at 10% for Ponte Preta and 58% for Fortaleza EC.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC: 0-2 (15.4%), 0-1 (13.4%) and 0-3 (11.9%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Fortaleza EC, full-time Fortaleza EC leads at 53%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 7% / 16% / 77% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Ponte Preta to win7%12.00
Draw16%5.65
Fortaleza EC to win77%1.22
Ponte Preta, draw no bet9%fair 11.76
Fortaleza EC, draw no bet92%fair 1.09
Double chance
Ponte Preta or draw23%3.84
Fortaleza EC or draw93%-
Ponte Preta or Fortaleza EC (no draw)85%1.11
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals54%1.68
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.13
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.25
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Under 2.5 goals46%2.09
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47
BTTS
Both teams to score38%2.35
Not both teams to score62%1.53
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.72
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26
Team goals
Ponte Preta to score42%fair 2.40
Fortaleza EC to score90%fair 1.11
Ponte Preta clean sheet10%fair 10.10
Fortaleza EC clean sheet58%fair 1.72
Ponte Preta to win to nil7%fair 15.15
Fortaleza EC to win to nil54%fair 1.87
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-215.4%
0-113.4%
0-311.9%
1-28.3%
1-17.2%
0-46.9%
Half-time / full-time
Fortaleza EC / Fortaleza EC53.2%
Draw / Fortaleza EC21.8%
Draw / Draw10.4%
Ponte Preta / Ponte Preta3.6%
Draw / Ponte Preta3%
Questions about Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
The model gives Fortaleza EC the best chance at 77%, with the draw at 16%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 15.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 54%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 38%. Ponte Preta find the net in 42% of simulated matches and Fortaleza EC in 90%.
What time does Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC kick off?
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC starts at 21:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.