Brazil Serie B
AvaiHomeWWDLL
0:2Half-time 0:1
Botafogo SPAwayWWWWD403030
Avai winDrawBotafogo SP win
AvaiHomeWWDLLBotafogo SPAwayWWWWD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.19 1.20 : 0.99
- Favourite
- 40% Avai
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 45% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Avai vs Botafogo SP betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.06 | 3.16 | 2.40 | 1.52 | 2.01 | 1.72 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Avai to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Avai price at 2.29, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.06 and 1xBet have Botafogo SP longest at 3.16.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.40 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.52 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.01 (1xBet) and no 1.72 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
71%
Our prediction
Avai or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
63% chance1.52
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.72
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
64% chance1.56fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.46fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Avai, full-time Avai
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
63% chance1.59fair
Avai vs Botafogo SP prediction
Avai vs Botafogo SP prediction, who wins and at what price
Avai host Botafogo SP on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the Brazil Serie B, and the model has Avai at 40%, the draw at 30% and Botafogo SP at 29%: that is the Avai vs Botafogo SP prediction in one line.
Avai are expected to score 1.20 and Botafogo SP 0.99, so the total line is 2.19 goals; over 2.5 lands at 37% and BTTS at 45%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Avai vs Botafogo SP is avai or draw, a 71% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 6 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Avai average 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Botafogo SP 1.4 and 0.4 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Avai vs Botafogo SP
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 64%, over 2.5 at 37%, over 3.5 at 18%; under 2.5 is 63% and under 3.5 is 82%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; 1xBet pay 1.52.
The chance of both teams scoring is 45%, built from Avai scoring in 70% of runs and Botafogo SP in 63%; clean sheets come at 37% for Avai and 30% for Botafogo SP.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 13.4%, followed by 1-1 (13.3%) and 0-0 (11.2%).
With the top scoreline at 13.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Avai vs Botafogo SP; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Avai, full-time Avai is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 63%.
Every market for Avai vs Botafogo SP
The grid built from 1.20 and 0.99 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Avai to win40%2.29
Draw30%3.06
Botafogo SP to win29%3.16
Avai, draw no bet58%fair 1.72
Botafogo SP, draw no bet42%fair 2.38
Double chance
Avai or draw71%1.31
Botafogo SP or draw60%1.55
Avai or Botafogo SP (no draw)70%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals64%fair 1.56
Over 2.5 goals37%2.40
Over 3.5 goals18%fair 5.59
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 14.08
Under 1.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Under 2.5 goals63%1.52
Under 3.5 goals82%fair 1.22
BTTS
Both teams to score45%2.01
Not both teams to score55%1.72
Halves
First-half goal63%fair 1.59
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.86
Second-half goal70%fair 1.43
Team goals
Avai to score70%fair 1.43
Botafogo SP to score63%fair 1.59
Avai clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Botafogo SP clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Avai to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Botafogo SP to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.4%
1-113.3%
0-011.2%
0-111.1%
2-08.1%
2-18%
Half-time / full-time
Avai / Avai23.6%
Draw / Draw19.6%
Botafogo SP / Botafogo SP16.9%
Draw / Avai15.4%
Draw / Botafogo SP11.9%
Questions about Avai vs Botafogo SP
Who will win Avai vs Botafogo SP?
The model gives Avai the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Avai vs Botafogo SP?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 37%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Avai vs Botafogo SP both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Avai find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Botafogo SP in 63%.
What time does Avai vs Botafogo SP kick off?
Avai vs Botafogo SP starts at 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.