Brazil Serie B
JuventudeHomeWDDWD
4:0Half-time 2:0
Nautico RecifeAwayLLDLW672112
Juventude winDrawNautico Recife win
JuventudeHomeWDDWDNautico RecifeAwayLLDLW- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.66 1.95 : 0.71
- Favourite
- 67% Juventude
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 43% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Juventude vs Nautico Recife betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.42 | 4.30 | 6.99 | 1.86 | 1.87 | 2.03 | 1.70 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.43 | 4.09 | 8.07 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 2.17 | 1.65 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.41 | 4.20 | 8.60 | 1.94 | 1.78 | 2.12 | 1.64 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.43 | 4.09 | 8.07 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 2.17 | 1.65 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.42 | 4.09 | 8.47 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.39 | 4.40 | 7.60 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 2.20 | 1.57 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Juventude to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Juventude price at 1.43, Stake lead the draw at 4.40 and BC.Game have Nautico Recife longest at 8.60.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.11 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.87 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.28 (Melbet) and no 1.70 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
67%
Our prediction
Juventude to win
Double chanceJuventude or draw
87% chance1.07
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.87
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Juventude, full-time Juventude
43% chance2.30fair
Juventude vs Nautico Recife prediction
Juventude vs Nautico Recife prediction and best bet
The Juventude vs Nautico Recife prediction leans to Juventude: 67% against 13% for Nautico Recife, with 21% left for the draw, in the Brazil Serie B on Monday, 26 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.95 for Juventude and 0.71 for Nautico Recife, a total of 2.66, which puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 43%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is juventude to win at 67%. At 1.43 with 22Bet the market prices it at 70%, against 67% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Juventude vs Nautico Recife.
For a safer line, juventude or draw covers 87% of outcomes at 1.07.
With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 5 matches Juventude stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Nautico Recife show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Juventude vs Nautico Recife? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 72%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 50%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.87 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 43%: Juventude find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Nautico Recife in 51%. Juventude keep a clean sheet 49% of the time and Nautico Recife 14%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Juventude vs Nautico Recife: 1-0 (13.6%), 2-0 (13.3%) and 1-1 (9.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Juventude, full-time Juventude is the top combination at 43%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every market for Juventude vs Nautico Recife
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Juventude vs Nautico Recife, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Juventude to win67%1.43
Draw21%4.40
Nautico Recife to win13%8.60
Juventude, draw no bet84%fair 1.19
Nautico Recife, draw no bet16%fair 6.21
Double chance
Juventude or draw87%1.07
Nautico Recife or draw33%2.82
Juventude or Nautico Recife (no draw)80%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals50%2.11
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 2.5 goals51%1.87
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score43%2.28
Not both teams to score57%1.70
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.98
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Juventude to score86%fair 1.17
Nautico Recife to score51%fair 1.97
Juventude clean sheet49%fair 2.03
Nautico Recife clean sheet14%fair 7.04
Juventude to win to nil45%fair 2.21
Nautico Recife to win to nil12%fair 8.47
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-013.6%
2-013.3%
1-19.7%
2-19.4%
3-08.6%
0-07%
Half-time / full-time
Juventude / Juventude43.4%
Draw / Juventude20.7%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Nautico Recife / Nautico Recife6.7%
Draw / Nautico Recife5.3%
Questions about Juventude vs Nautico Recife
Juventude or Nautico Recife: which side does the model back?
The model gives Juventude the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Juventude vs Nautico Recife?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Juventude vs Nautico Recife?
The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Juventude find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Nautico Recife in 51%.
When do Juventude play Nautico Recife?
Kick-off is 23:30 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.