Union St. Gilloise vs Genk prediction

Union St. Gilloise vs Genk prediction, who wins and at what price

Union St. Gilloise vs Genk prediction for the Pro League on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Union St. Gilloise the clear favourite at 62%, with the draw at 21% and Genk at 17%.

Expected goals are 2.15 for Union St. Gilloise and 1.06 for Genk, a total of 3.21, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Union St. Gilloise vs Genk is union St. Gilloise to win, a 62% chance. At 1.64 with 1xBet the market prices it at 61%, against 62% from the model.

Union St. Gilloise or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.18.

With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Union St. Gilloise stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Genk show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Union St. Gilloise vs Genk over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 38% and under 3.5 60%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 62%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.63 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 58%. Union St. Gilloise score in 88% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for Genk; Genk score in 65% while Union St. Gilloise shut them out 35% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.9%, followed by 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-1 (9.2%).

With the top scoreline at 9.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Union St. Gilloise vs Genk; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Union St. Gilloise, full-time Union St. Gilloise is the top combination at 41%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.