Cup
Excelsior VirtonHomeWLLLW
0:2Half-time 0:2
GenkAwayLWWWL152164
Excelsior Virton winDrawGenk win
Excelsior VirtonHomeWLLLWGenkAwayLWWWL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.06 0.94 : 2.12
- Favourite
- 65% Genk
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Excelsior Virton vs Genk odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 6.23 | 4.20 | 1.47 | 1.53 | 2.21 | 1.69 | 2.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Genk to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Excelsior Virton price at 6.23, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.20 and 1xBet have Genk longest at 1.47.
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.7%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.53 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.21 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (1xBet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
65%
Our prediction
Genk to win
Double chanceGenk or draw
85% chance1.09
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.53
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Genk, full-time Genk
42% chance2.36fair
Excelsior Virton vs Genk prediction
Excelsior Virton vs Genk prediction and best bet
Genk are the clear favourite in the Excelsior Virton vs Genk prediction, rated 65% to win this Cup match on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Excelsior Virton sit at 15% and the draw at 21%.
Expected goals are 0.94 for Excelsior Virton and 2.12 for Genk, a total of 3.06, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 56%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Genk to win is the main selection, rated 65%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.47. That price implies 68%, 4 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Genk or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.09.
With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Excelsior Virton average 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Genk 1.4 and 1.0 across 5.
How many goals in Excelsior Virton vs Genk? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Excelsior Virton vs Genk reads 81% for over 1.5, 58% for over 2.5 and 37% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 42%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.53 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 56%. Excelsior Virton score in 61% of simulations against a 39% clean sheet for Genk; Genk score in 88% while Excelsior Virton shut them out 12% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Excelsior Virton vs Genk: 0-2 (10.5%), 0-1 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.9%).
With the top scoreline at 10.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Excelsior Virton vs Genk; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Genk, full-time Genk is the top combination at 42%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.
Every market rated for Excelsior Virton vs Genk
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Excelsior Virton vs Genk, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Excelsior Virton to win15%6.23
Draw21%4.20
Genk to win65%1.47
Excelsior Virton, draw no bet19%fair 5.32
Genk, draw no bet81%fair 1.23
Double chance
Excelsior Virton or draw36%2.51
Genk or draw85%1.09
Excelsior Virton or Genk (no draw)79%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals58%1.53
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.73
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 2.5 goals42%2.21
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.58
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.69
Not both teams to score44%2.05
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.50
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Excelsior Virton to score61%fair 1.64
Genk to score88%fair 1.14
Excelsior Virton clean sheet12%fair 8.33
Genk clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Excelsior Virton to win to nil11%fair 9.09
Genk to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-210.5%
0-19.9%
1-29.9%
1-19.3%
0-37.4%
1-37%
Half-time / full-time
Genk / Genk42.3%
Draw / Genk19%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Excelsior Virton / Excelsior Virton8.6%
Draw / Excelsior Virton6%
Questions about Excelsior Virton vs Genk
Excelsior Virton or Genk: which side does the model back?
The model gives Genk the best chance at 65%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Excelsior Virton vs Genk?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Excelsior Virton vs Genk?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Excelsior Virton find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Genk in 88%.
What time does Excelsior Virton vs Genk kick off?
Kick-off is 18:45 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.