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Live 25 UTC
Pro League Round 9 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
GenkHomeLWWWL
2:1Half-time 1:0
Standard LiegeAwayLLWLD
552520
Genk winDrawStandard Liege win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
3.10
1.95 : 1.15
Favourite
55%
Genk
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Genk vs Standard Liege odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.773.884.461.592.381.542.32Bet
22Bet1.683.924.901.672.201.652.25Bet
BC.Game1.653.755.001.592.241.592.22Bet
Betwinner1.683.924.901.672.201.652.25Bet
Melbet1.683.924.901.672.201.652.25Bet
Stake1.674.004.801.572.311.602.19Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Genk to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Genk vs Standard Liege prediction: Genk 1.77 (1xBet), draw 4.00 (Stake), Standard Liege 5.00 (BC.Game).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.67 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.38 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (Melbet) and no 2.32 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

55%

Our prediction

Genk to win
StrongExpected goals 1.95 : 1.15-2.8% against the best price
Double chanceGenk or draw
80% chance1.22
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Genk, full-time Genk
36% chance2.81fair

Genk vs Standard Liege prediction

Genk vs Standard Liege prediction, who wins and at what price

The Genk vs Standard Liege prediction leans to Genk: 55% against 20% for Standard Liege, with 25% left for the draw, in the Pro League on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

Expected goals are 1.95 for Genk and 1.15 for Standard Liege, a total of 3.10, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 60%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is genk to win at 55%. At 1.77 with 1xBet the market prices it at 56%, against 55% from the model.

Genk or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.22.

Over the last 5 matches Genk stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Standard Liege show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Genk vs Standard Liege? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.67 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 60%. Genk score in 86% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for Standard Liege; Standard Liege score in 68% while Genk shut them out 32% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.1%, then 2-1 at 9.8% and 1-0 at 8.8%.

With the top scoreline at 10.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Genk vs Standard Liege; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Genk, full-time Genk leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Genk vs Standard Liege

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 55% / 25% / 20% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Genk to win55%1.77
Draw25%4.00
Standard Liege to win20%5.00
Genk, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
Standard Liege, draw no bet27%fair 3.69

Double chance

Genk or draw80%1.22
Standard Liege or draw45%2.18
Genk or Standard Liege (no draw)75%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.67
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 2.5 goals41%2.38
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.60

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.65
Not both teams to score40%2.32

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.46
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Genk to score86%fair 1.17
Standard Liege to score68%fair 1.46
Genk clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Standard Liege clean sheet14%fair 7.04
Genk to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Standard Liege to win to nil13%fair 7.63

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
2-19.8%
1-08.8%
2-08.6%
3-16.4%
1-25.8%

Half-time / full-time

Genk / Genk35.6%
Draw / Genk17.1%
Standard Liege / Standard Liege12.5%
Draw / Draw12.2%
Draw / Standard Liege8%

Questions about Genk vs Standard Liege

Who will win Genk vs Standard Liege?

The model gives Genk the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Genk vs Standard Liege?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 59% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Genk vs Standard Liege?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Genk find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Standard Liege in 68%.

When is Genk vs Standard Liege and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Genk v Standard LiegeGenk to win, 55%
1.77Bet